Grupo Aval Stock Price Prediction
| AVAL Stock | USD 2.39 0.05 2.05% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
50
Oversold | Overbought |
Grupo Aval stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Grupo Aval shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Grupo Aval's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Grupo Aval and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Grupo Aval's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Grupo Aval, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Grupo Aval's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.84) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.06 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.29 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.42 | Wall Street Target Price 2.85 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Grupo Aval based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Grupo stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Grupo Aval over a specific investment horizon. Using Grupo Aval hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Grupo Aval from the perspective of Grupo Aval response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Grupo Aval. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Grupo Aval to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Grupo because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Grupo Aval after-hype prediction price | USD 2.37 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Grupo |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Grupo Aval's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Grupo Aval After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Grupo Aval at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Grupo Aval or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Grupo Aval, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Grupo Aval Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Grupo Aval's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Grupo Aval's historical news coverage. Grupo Aval's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.50 and 4.24, respectively. We have considered Grupo Aval's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Grupo Aval is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Grupo Aval is based on 3 months time horizon.
Grupo Aval Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Grupo Aval is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grupo Aval backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Grupo Aval, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.87 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
2.39 | 2.37 | 0.84 |
|
Grupo Aval Hype Timeline
Grupo Aval is presently traded for 2.39. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Grupo is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 2.37. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.84%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.11%. The volatility of related hype on Grupo Aval is about 21037.5%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.39. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.69. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Grupo Aval last dividend was issued on the 30th of April 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Grupo Aval Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Grupo Aval Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Grupo Aval's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Grupo Aval's future price movements. Getting to know how Grupo Aval's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Grupo Aval may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| HMNF | HMN Financial | 0.49 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.93 | (2.07) | 10.38 | |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | (0.01) | 8 per month | 1.58 | 0.04 | 3.35 | (2.71) | 33.39 | |
| FFNW | First Financial Northwest | 0.05 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 1.07 | (0.92) | 3.79 | |
| PDLB | Ponce Financial Group | (0.05) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.42 | (3.46) | 10.76 | |
| FINW | Finwise Bancorp | (0.06) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 3.49 | (5.09) | 17.17 | |
| MGYR | Magyar Bancorp | 0.04 | 7 per month | 1.57 | (0.01) | 3.01 | (2.48) | 9.53 | |
| CULL | Cullman Bancorp | (0.19) | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.45 | (1.85) | 9.11 | |
| HFBL | Home Federal Bancorp | (0.14) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 3.88 | (3.91) | 11.94 | |
| LSBK | Lake Shore Bancorp | (0.21) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.63 | (2.47) | 7.98 |
Grupo Aval Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Grupo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Grupo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Grupo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Grupo Aval Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Grupo Aval stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Grupo Aval, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Grupo Aval based on analysis of Grupo Aval hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Grupo Aval's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Grupo Aval's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.002659 | 0.001462 | 0.003431 | 0.003259 | Price To Sales Ratio | 19.32 | 17.37 | 4.8 | 5.78 |
Story Coverage note for Grupo Aval
The number of cover stories for Grupo Aval depends on current market conditions and Grupo Aval's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Grupo Aval is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Grupo Aval's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Grupo Aval Short Properties
Grupo Aval's future price predictability will typically decrease when Grupo Aval's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Grupo Aval often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Grupo Aval's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Grupo Aval's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 23.7 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | -18.6 T |
Check out Grupo Aval Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Grupo Stock please use our How to buy in Grupo Stock guide.Note that the Grupo Aval information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Grupo Aval's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Complementary Tools for Grupo Stock analysis
When running Grupo Aval's price analysis, check to measure Grupo Aval's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grupo Aval is operating at the current time. Most of Grupo Aval's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grupo Aval's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grupo Aval's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grupo Aval to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Volatility Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk | |
| Top Crypto Exchanges Search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges | |
| Competition Analyzer Analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities | |
| Bond Analysis Evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios. | |
| Correlation Analysis Reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated | |
| Commodity Directory Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges | |
| Odds Of Bankruptcy Get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Pattern Recognition Use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges | |
| Fundamentals Comparison Compare fundamentals across multiple equities to find investing opportunities | |
| Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation | |
| Premium Stories Follow Macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope |
Is Grupo Aval's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Grupo Aval. If investors know Grupo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Grupo Aval listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.84) | Earnings Share 0.16 | Revenue Per Share 9.9 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) | Return On Assets 0.0073 |
The market value of Grupo Aval is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grupo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grupo Aval's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grupo Aval's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grupo Aval's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grupo Aval's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grupo Aval's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grupo Aval is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grupo Aval's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.