Grupo Aval Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| AVAL Stock | USD 2.35 0.03 1.26% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your highly speculative risk level, our recommendation regarding Grupo Aval is 'Hold'. Macroaxis provides Grupo Aval buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding AVAL positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Grupo Aval's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Grupo Aval's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 2.5 | Target Price 3 | Hype Value 2.37 | Market Value 2.35 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Grupo Aval given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Grupo Aval. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Grupo Aval, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Grupo |
Execute Grupo Aval Buy or Sell Advice
The Grupo recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Grupo Aval. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Grupo Aval or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Grupo Aval's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Hold
Market Performance | Very Weak | Details | |
Volatility | Moderately volatile | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Undervalued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Barely shadows the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Impartial | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Hold | Details | |
Financial Strenth (F Score) | Healthy | Details | |
Financial Leverage | Inapplicable | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unlikely Manipulator | Details |
Grupo Aval Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| Grupo Aval generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| On 8th of April 2024 Grupo Aval paid $ 0.0102 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Grupo Aval Announces the Filing of Its Form 20-F for the Year Ended December 31, 2023 |
Grupo Aval Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Grupo Aval's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Grupo Aval's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Grupo Aval daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Grupo Aval price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Grupo Aval returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Grupo Aval.
| Mean Return | -0.05 | Value At Risk | -3.21 | Potential Upside | 2.67 | Standard Deviation | 1.87 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Grupo Aval historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Grupo Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Grupo Aval is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Grupo Aval backward and forwards among themselves. Grupo Aval's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Grupo Aval's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Mercer Global Advisors Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 34.1 K | Millennium Management Llc | 2023-12-31 | 32.5 K | Stokes Family Office, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 31 K | Epacria Capital Partners Llc | 2023-12-31 | 28.1 K | Citadel Advisors Llc | 2023-09-30 | 27.5 K | Virtu Financial Llc | 2023-12-31 | 21.7 K | Banco Btg Pactual S.a. | 2023-12-31 | 20.7 K | Vident Advisory, Llc | 2023-12-31 | 20.7 K | Creative Planning Inc | 2023-12-31 | 11.7 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2023-12-31 | 797.5 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 610.6 K |
Grupo Aval Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | 1.7T | 3.9T | 2.6T | (19.6T) | 4.3T | 4.5T | |
| Free Cash Flow | 3.9T | 8.0T | 3.6T | (1.4T) | 511.9B | 486.3B | |
| Depreciation | 1.3T | 1.4T | 1.4T | 1.1T | 1.2T | 849.9B | |
| Other Non Cash Items | (2.6T) | (3.0T) | (3.4T) | (5.5T) | (432.2B) | (453.8B) | |
| Dividends Paid | 1.3T | 1.3T | 1.2T | 414.3B | (766.5B) | (728.2B) | |
| Capital Expenditures | 1.7T | 2.0T | 2.3T | 1.1T | 1.3T | 1.3T | |
| Net Income | 7.5T | 6.5T | 8.5T | 6.3T | 739.0B | 702.1B | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 30.1T | 34.0T | 36.6T | 17.0T | 4.3T | 4.1T | |
| Investments | (3.1T) | (7.6T) | (6.6T) | (13.0T) | (11.7T) | (11.1T) | |
| Net Borrowings | 1.2T | 3.1T | 829.1B | (7.5T) | (6.8T) | (6.4T) | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.8T | 1.1T | 1.8T | (3.1T) | (2.8T) | (2.7T) |
Grupo Aval Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Grupo Aval or Banks sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Grupo Aval's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Grupo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.06 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.02 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 1.88 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.06 |
Grupo Aval Volatility Alert
Grupo Aval exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -0.77 and kurtosis of 1.69. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Grupo Aval's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Grupo Aval's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Grupo Aval Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Grupo Aval's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Grupo Aval's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Grupo Aval and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Grupo Aval or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Grupo Aval's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Grupo Aval by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Grupo Aval to competition |
| Fundamentals | Grupo Aval | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | 0.0698 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | 0.0073 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | 0.06 % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | 0.21 % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 61.65 T | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 1.19 B | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 0.68 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 427.65 K | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 3.11 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.69 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 0.0003 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 46.53 T | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 13.61 T | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | (270 B) | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | 739 B | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 17.33 B | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 15.55 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 66.2 T | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 14.32 % | 48.70 % |
| Book Value Per Share | 5.16 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 1.81 T | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 3.58 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | 0.18 X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 2.85 | |
| Beta | 0.57 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 2.87 B | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 301.18 T | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | 499.02 B | 9.33 B |
| Annual Yield | 0.05 % | |
| Five Year Return | 6.04 % | |
| Net Asset | 301.18 T |
Grupo Aval Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Grupo . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
About Grupo Aval Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Grupo Aval? Buying financial instruments such as Grupo Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 73.3T | 72.1T | 66.2T | 47.9T | Total Assets | 366.9T | 295.6T | 301.2T | 238.3T |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Grupo Aval in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Macroaxis Index
An experimental equal-weighted index theme of selected equities generated based on Macroaxis rating and scoring system. The Macroaxis Index theme has 52 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Macroaxis Index Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out Grupo Aval Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool. For more information on how to buy Grupo Stock please use our How to buy in Grupo Stock guide.Note that the Grupo Aval information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Grupo Aval's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Complementary Tools for Grupo Stock analysis
When running Grupo Aval's price analysis, check to measure Grupo Aval's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Grupo Aval is operating at the current time. Most of Grupo Aval's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Grupo Aval's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Grupo Aval's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Grupo Aval to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Grupo Aval's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Grupo Aval. If investors know Grupo will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Grupo Aval listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.84) | Earnings Share 0.18 | Revenue Per Share 9.9 K | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.07) | Return On Assets 0.0073 |
The market value of Grupo Aval is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Grupo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Grupo Aval's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Grupo Aval's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Grupo Aval's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Grupo Aval's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Grupo Aval's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Grupo Aval is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Grupo Aval's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.