Bitcoin Price Prediction
| BTC Crypto | USD 71,033 4,105 6.13% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Bitcoin crypto price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Bitcoin shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Bitcoin's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bitcoin and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bitcoin's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bitcoin, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether crypto price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Bitcoin based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Bitcoin price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Bitcoin over a specific investment horizon. Using Bitcoin hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bitcoin from the perspective of Bitcoin response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Bitcoin. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bitcoin to buy its crypto coin at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bitcoin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell crypto coins at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bitcoin after-hype prediction price | .CC 71818.76 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as crypto price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bitcoin |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bitcoin's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bitcoin After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bitcoin at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bitcoin or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Crypto Coin prices, such as prices of Bitcoin, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bitcoin Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bitcoin's crypto coin value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bitcoin's historical news coverage. Bitcoin's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 63,930 and 71,823, respectively. We have considered Bitcoin's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bitcoin is very volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bitcoin is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bitcoin Crypto Coin Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Cryptocurrency such as Bitcoin is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bitcoin backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Crypto price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bitcoin, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.58 | 3.77 | 785.96 | 0.17 | 5 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
71,033 | 71,819 | 1.11 |
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Bitcoin Hype Timeline
Bitcoin is currently traded for 71,033. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 785.96, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.17. Bitcoin is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 71818.76 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 0.28%. The price growth on the next news is anticipated to be 1.11%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.58%. The volatility of related hype on Bitcoin is about 1312.34%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 71,033. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Bitcoin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bitcoin Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bitcoin's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bitcoin's future price movements. Getting to know how Bitcoin's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bitcoin may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DOGE | Dogecoin | 0.00 | 5 per month | 5.56 | 0.14 | 15.38 | (11.11) | 36.28 | |
| BCH | Bitcoin Cash | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.48 | 0.12 | 12.11 | (9.08) | 78.47 | |
| LTC | Litecoin | 4.20 | 3 per month | 4.76 | 0.08 | 7.94 | (7.89) | 28.62 | |
| ETC | Ethereum Classic | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.32 | 0.04 | 7.94 | (8.84) | 26.67 | |
| AR | Arweave | 0.12 | 2 per month | 5.99 | 0.22 | 18.01 | (10.23) | 71.06 | |
| XMR | Monero | (7.47) | 4 per month | 2.65 | 0.05 | 4.47 | (3.87) | 18.38 | |
| BSV | Bitcoin SV | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.84 | (0.01) | 8.07 | (12.06) | 48.53 | |
| CFX | Conflux Network | 0.00 | 0 per month | 7.46 | 0.03 | 13.16 | (12.20) | 43.52 | |
| CKB | Nervos Network | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.42 | 0.1 | 16.67 | (11.15) | 49.59 | |
| BTG | Bitcoin Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.95 | 0.11 | 15.25 | (10.16) | 45.42 | |
| MIOTA | IOTA | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 10.00 | (12.50) | 34.74 |
Bitcoin Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bitcoin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bitcoin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bitcoin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
The successful prediction of Bitcoin price could yield a significant profit to cryptocurrency investors. Theoretically, the cryptocurrency market should be highly efficient, with prices reflecting the accessible real-world information almost immediately. The crypto trading ecosystem has experienced unprecedented growth over the last few years and continues accelerating irrespective of its volatilities and bubbles. In general, Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies react quickly to the market and adjust based on demand and supply. This implies that the cryptocurrency market is highly efficient, with prices reflecting the accessible real-world information almost immediately. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bitcoin based on Bitcoin hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bitcoin's market risk using different technical indicators and then compare them to Bitcoin's related cryptocurrency tokens.
Story Coverage note for Bitcoin
The number of cover stories for Bitcoin depends on current market conditions and Bitcoin's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bitcoin is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bitcoin's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Bitcoin Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Bitcoin information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Bitcoin's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Idea Optimizer module to use advanced portfolio builder with pre-computed micro ideas to build optimal portfolio .