Vision Marine Technologies Stock Price Prediction

VMAR Stock  USD 0.60  0.01  1.64%   
As of today, the relative strength index (RSI) of Vision Marine's share price is approaching 46. This entails that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Vision Marine, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

46

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Vision Marine Techno stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Vision Marine shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Vision Marine's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Vision Marine and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Vision Marine's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Vision Marine Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Vision Marine's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.66)
EPS Estimate Next Year
(0.79)
Wall Street Target Price
2.5
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
(0.25)
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Vision Marine based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Vision stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Vision Marine over a specific investment horizon. Using Vision Marine hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Vision Marine Technologies from the perspective of Vision Marine response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Vision Marine. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Vision Marine to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Vision because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Vision Marine after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.61  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Vision Marine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vision Marine's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.101.946.51
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.010.645.21
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
5.455.996.65
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.24-0.24-0.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Vision Marine. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Vision Marine's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Vision Marine's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Vision Marine Techno.

Vision Marine After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Vision Marine at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Vision Marine or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Vision Marine, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Vision Marine Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Vision Marine's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Vision Marine's historical news coverage. Vision Marine's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 5.18, respectively. We have considered Vision Marine's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.60
0.61
After-hype Price
5.18
Upside
Vision Marine is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Vision Marine Techno is based on 3 months time horizon.

Vision Marine Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Vision Marine is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Vision Marine backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Vision Marine, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.29 
4.57
  0.01 
  0.18 
10 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In about 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.60
0.61
1.67 
22,850  
Notes

Vision Marine Hype Timeline

Vision Marine Techno is at this time traded for 0.60. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.18. Vision is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.61 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 1.67%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.29%. The volatility of related hype on Vision Marine is about 733.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.78. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 5.65 M. Net Loss for the year was (20.88 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.29 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days.
Check out Vision Marine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Vision Marine Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Vision Marine's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Vision Marine's future price movements. Getting to know how Vision Marine's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Vision Marine may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Vision Marine Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Vision price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Vision using various technical indicators. When you analyze Vision charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Vision Marine Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Vision Marine stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Vision Marine Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Vision Marine based on analysis of Vision Marine hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Vision Marine's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Vision Marine's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Payables Turnover5.513.723.342.88
Days Of Inventory On Hand187.98216.92249.45277.2

Story Coverage note for Vision Marine

The number of cover stories for Vision Marine depends on current market conditions and Vision Marine's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Vision Marine is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Vision Marine's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Vision Marine Short Properties

Vision Marine's future price predictability will typically decrease when Vision Marine's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Vision Marine Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Vision Marine's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Vision Marine's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding9.3 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.4 M
When determining whether Vision Marine Techno is a strong investment it is important to analyze Vision Marine's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Vision Marine's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Vision Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Vision Marine Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Vision Marine Techno information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Vision Marine's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.

Complementary Tools for Vision Stock analysis

When running Vision Marine's price analysis, check to measure Vision Marine's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Vision Marine is operating at the current time. Most of Vision Marine's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Vision Marine's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Vision Marine's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Vision Marine to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Vision Marine's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Vision Marine. If investors know Vision will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Vision Marine listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.95)
Revenue Per Share
0.476
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.12)
Return On Assets
(0.47)
Return On Equity
(1.50)
The market value of Vision Marine Techno is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Vision that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Vision Marine's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Vision Marine's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Vision Marine's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Vision Marine's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Vision Marine's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Vision Marine is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Vision Marine's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.