Topdanmark (Denmark) Price Prediction
| TOP Stock | DKK 291.60 3.40 1.15% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
61
Oversold | Overbought |
Topdanmark AS stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Topdanmark shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Topdanmark's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Topdanmark and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Topdanmark's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Topdanmark AS, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Topdanmark based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Topdanmark stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Topdanmark over a specific investment horizon. Using Topdanmark hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Topdanmark AS from the perspective of Topdanmark response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Topdanmark. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Topdanmark to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Topdanmark because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Topdanmark after-hype prediction price | DKK 291.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Topdanmark |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Topdanmark's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Topdanmark After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Topdanmark at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Topdanmark or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Topdanmark, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Topdanmark Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Topdanmark's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Topdanmark's historical news coverage. Topdanmark's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 290.46 and 292.74, respectively. We have considered Topdanmark's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Topdanmark is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Topdanmark AS is based on 3 months time horizon.
Topdanmark Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Topdanmark is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Topdanmark backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Topdanmark, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
291.60 | 291.60 | 0.00 |
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Topdanmark Hype Timeline
Topdanmark AS is at this time traded for 291.60on Copenhagen Exchange of Denmark. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Topdanmark is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Topdanmark is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 291.60. About 71.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 15.3. Topdanmark AS last dividend was issued on the 27th of April 2023. The entity had 10:1 split on the 13th of March 2013. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be within a week. Check out Topdanmark Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Topdanmark Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Topdanmark's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Topdanmark's future price movements. Getting to know how Topdanmark's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Topdanmark may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TRYG | Tryg AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.92 | (0.05) | 1.41 | (1.50) | 6.52 | |
| JYSK | Jyske Bank AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.20 | 0.06 | 1.94 | (1.61) | 8.56 | |
| ALMB | Alm Brand | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.91 | (1.91) | 7.95 | |
| FLS | FLSmidth Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.35 | 0.21 | 3.37 | (2.00) | 10.43 | |
| GN | GN Store Nord | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.09 | 0.06 | 5.06 | (3.57) | 11.02 |
Topdanmark Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Topdanmark price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Topdanmark using various technical indicators. When you analyze Topdanmark charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Topdanmark Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Topdanmark stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Topdanmark AS, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Topdanmark based on analysis of Topdanmark hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Topdanmark's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Topdanmark's related companies. Story Coverage note for Topdanmark
The number of cover stories for Topdanmark depends on current market conditions and Topdanmark's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Topdanmark is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Topdanmark's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Topdanmark Short Properties
Topdanmark's future price predictability will typically decrease when Topdanmark's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Topdanmark AS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Topdanmark's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Topdanmark's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 88 M |
Check out Topdanmark Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Complementary Tools for Topdanmark Stock analysis
When running Topdanmark's price analysis, check to measure Topdanmark's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Topdanmark is operating at the current time. Most of Topdanmark's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Topdanmark's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Topdanmark's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Topdanmark to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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