Pollux Investasi (Indonesia) Price Prediction

POLI Stock   685.00  5.00  0.72%   
As of now, the value of RSI of Pollux Investasi's share price is approaching 37 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Pollux Investasi, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

37

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Pollux Investasi Int stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Pollux Investasi shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Pollux Investasi's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Pollux Investasi and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Pollux Investasi's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Pollux Investasi Internasional, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Pollux Investasi based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Pollux stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Pollux Investasi over a specific investment horizon. Using Pollux Investasi hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Pollux Investasi Internasional from the perspective of Pollux Investasi response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Pollux Investasi. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Pollux Investasi to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Pollux because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Pollux Investasi after-hype prediction price

    
  IDR 685.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Pollux Investasi Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pollux Investasi's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
597.19599.55753.50
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
692.07694.43696.79
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
682.21695.42708.62
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pollux Investasi. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pollux Investasi's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pollux Investasi's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pollux Investasi Int.

Pollux Investasi After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Pollux Investasi at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Pollux Investasi or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Pollux Investasi, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Pollux Investasi Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Pollux Investasi's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Pollux Investasi's historical news coverage. Pollux Investasi's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 682.64 and 687.36, respectively. We have considered Pollux Investasi's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
685.00
682.64
Downside
685.00
After-hype Price
687.36
Upside
Pollux Investasi is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Pollux Investasi Int is based on 3 months time horizon.

Pollux Investasi Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Pollux Investasi is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Pollux Investasi backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Pollux Investasi, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.26 
2.36
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
685.00
685.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Pollux Investasi Hype Timeline

Pollux Investasi Int is at this time traded for 685.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Pollux is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Pollux Investasi is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 685.00. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.93. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Pollux Investasi Int recorded earning per share (EPS) of 116.84. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be within a week.
Check out Pollux Investasi Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Pollux Investasi Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Pollux Investasi's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Pollux Investasi's future price movements. Getting to know how Pollux Investasi's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Pollux Investasi may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Pollux Investasi Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Pollux price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Pollux using various technical indicators. When you analyze Pollux charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Pollux Investasi Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Pollux Investasi stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Pollux Investasi Internasional, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Pollux Investasi based on analysis of Pollux Investasi hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Pollux Investasi's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Pollux Investasi's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Pollux Investasi

The number of cover stories for Pollux Investasi depends on current market conditions and Pollux Investasi's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Pollux Investasi is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Pollux Investasi's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Pollux Investasi Short Properties

Pollux Investasi's future price predictability will typically decrease when Pollux Investasi's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Pollux Investasi Internasional often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Pollux Investasi's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pollux Investasi's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares OutstandingB
Cash And Short Term Investments22.2 B
Check out Pollux Investasi Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Pollux Investasi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pollux Investasi is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pollux Investasi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.