Nilfisk Holding (Denmark) Price Prediction

NLFSK Stock  DKK 150.40  4.60  2.97%   
The value of RSI of Nilfisk Holding's the stock price is about 62. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Nilfisk, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

62

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Nilfisk Holding's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Nilfisk Holding AS, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Nilfisk Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Nilfisk Holding AS from the perspective of Nilfisk Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Nilfisk Holding to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Nilfisk because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Nilfisk Holding after-hype prediction price

    
  DKK 150.4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Nilfisk Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Nilfisk Holding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
135.36171.51173.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
148.62150.45152.28
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
149.54153.20156.86
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Nilfisk Holding. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Nilfisk Holding's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Nilfisk Holding's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Nilfisk Holding AS.

Nilfisk Holding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Nilfisk Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Nilfisk Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Nilfisk Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Nilfisk Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Nilfisk Holding's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Nilfisk Holding's historical news coverage. Nilfisk Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 148.57 and 152.23, respectively. We have considered Nilfisk Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
150.40
148.57
Downside
150.40
After-hype Price
152.23
Upside
Nilfisk Holding is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Nilfisk Holding AS is based on 3 months time horizon.

Nilfisk Holding Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Nilfisk Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Nilfisk Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Nilfisk Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.22 
1.83
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
150.40
150.40
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Nilfisk Holding Hype Timeline

Nilfisk Holding AS is now traded for 150.40on Copenhagen Exchange of Denmark. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Nilfisk is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.22%. %. The volatility of related hype on Nilfisk Holding is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 150.40. About 73.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.89. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Nilfisk Holding AS has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 244.28. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.65. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain.
Check out Nilfisk Holding Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Nilfisk Holding Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Nilfisk Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Nilfisk Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Nilfisk Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Nilfisk Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Nilfisk Holding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Nilfisk price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Nilfisk using various technical indicators. When you analyze Nilfisk charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Nilfisk Holding Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Nilfisk Holding stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Nilfisk Holding AS, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Nilfisk Holding based on analysis of Nilfisk Holding hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Nilfisk Holding's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Nilfisk Holding's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Nilfisk Holding

The number of cover stories for Nilfisk Holding depends on current market conditions and Nilfisk Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Nilfisk Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Nilfisk Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Nilfisk Holding Short Properties

Nilfisk Holding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Nilfisk Holding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Nilfisk Holding AS often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Nilfisk Holding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Nilfisk Holding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding27.1 M

Complementary Tools for Nilfisk Stock analysis

When running Nilfisk Holding's price analysis, check to measure Nilfisk Holding's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Nilfisk Holding is operating at the current time. Most of Nilfisk Holding's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Nilfisk Holding's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Nilfisk Holding's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Nilfisk Holding to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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