Lloyds Banking (Mexico) Price Prediction

LYGN Stock  MXN 49.50  5.69  12.99%   
The value of RSI of Lloyds Banking's the stock price is slightly above 60. This indicates that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Lloyds, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

60

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Lloyds Banking's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Lloyds Banking Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Lloyds Banking hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Lloyds Banking Group from the perspective of Lloyds Banking response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Lloyds Banking to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Lloyds because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Lloyds Banking after-hype prediction price

    
  MXN 49.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Lloyds Banking Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Lloyds Banking's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.5556.2058.16
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
46.9648.9350.89
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
40.4044.9549.50
Details

Lloyds Banking After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Lloyds Banking at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Lloyds Banking or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Lloyds Banking, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Lloyds Banking Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Lloyds Banking's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Lloyds Banking's historical news coverage. Lloyds Banking's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 47.54 and 51.46, respectively. We have considered Lloyds Banking's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
49.50
49.50
After-hype Price
51.46
Upside
Lloyds Banking is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Lloyds Banking Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Lloyds Banking Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Lloyds Banking is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Lloyds Banking backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Lloyds Banking, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.25 
1.96
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Uncertain
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
49.50
49.50
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Lloyds Banking Hype Timeline

Lloyds Banking Group is now traded for 49.50on Mexican Exchange of Mexico. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Lloyds is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Lloyds Banking is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 49.50. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.63. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Lloyds Banking Group has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.16. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.12. The firm last dividend was issued on the 5th of August 2022. Lloyds Banking had 2:1 split on the 6th of May 2009. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be uncertain.
Check out Lloyds Banking Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Lloyds Banking Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Lloyds Banking's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Lloyds Banking's future price movements. Getting to know how Lloyds Banking's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Lloyds Banking may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Lloyds Banking Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Lloyds price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Lloyds using various technical indicators. When you analyze Lloyds charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Lloyds Banking Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Lloyds Banking stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Lloyds Banking Group, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Lloyds Banking based on analysis of Lloyds Banking hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Lloyds Banking's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Lloyds Banking's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Lloyds Banking

The number of cover stories for Lloyds Banking depends on current market conditions and Lloyds Banking's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Lloyds Banking is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Lloyds Banking's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Lloyds Banking Short Properties

Lloyds Banking's future price predictability will typically decrease when Lloyds Banking's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Lloyds Banking Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Lloyds Banking's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Lloyds Banking's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding71 B

Additional Tools for Lloyds Stock Analysis

When running Lloyds Banking's price analysis, check to measure Lloyds Banking's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Lloyds Banking is operating at the current time. Most of Lloyds Banking's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Lloyds Banking's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Lloyds Banking's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Lloyds Banking to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.