Kumba Iron Ore Stock Price Prediction
| KUMBF Stock | USD 23.52 0.15 0.63% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Kumba Iron Ore stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Kumba Iron shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Kumba Iron's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Kumba Iron and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Kumba Iron's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kumba Iron Ore, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Kumba Iron based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Kumba stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Kumba Iron over a specific investment horizon. Using Kumba Iron hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kumba Iron Ore from the perspective of Kumba Iron response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Kumba Iron. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kumba Iron to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kumba because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Kumba Iron after-hype prediction price | USD 23.52 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Kumba |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Kumba Iron's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Kumba Iron After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Kumba Iron at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kumba Iron or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Kumba Iron, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Kumba Iron Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Kumba Iron's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kumba Iron's historical news coverage. Kumba Iron's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 1.18 and 2,376, respectively. We have considered Kumba Iron's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Kumba Iron is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kumba Iron Ore is based on 3 months time horizon.
Kumba Iron Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kumba Iron is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kumba Iron backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kumba Iron, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
14.67 | 127.77 | 0.00 | 1.01 | 0 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | Uncertain |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
23.52 | 23.52 | 0.00 |
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Kumba Iron Hype Timeline
Kumba Iron Ore is now traded for 23.52. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 1.01. Kumba is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is now at 14.67%. %. The volatility of related hype on Kumba Iron is about 185847.27%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.53. About 70.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Kumba Iron was now reported as 145.12. The company last dividend was issued on the 17th of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be uncertain. Check out Kumba Iron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Kumba Iron Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Kumba Iron's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kumba Iron's future price movements. Getting to know how Kumba Iron's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kumba Iron may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NUE | Nucor Corp | 0.65 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.68 | (1.86) | 15.80 | |
| X | United States Steel | (0.23) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 1.62 | (2.90) | 14.36 | |
| RS | Reliance Steel Aluminum | 0.47 | 9 per month | 1.47 | 0.02 | 1.93 | (1.83) | 19.63 | |
| MT | ArcelorMittal SA ADR | (0.17) | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.52 | (2.40) | 11.09 | |
| CMC | Commercial Metals | 0.06 | 9 per month | 1.22 | 0.03 | 2.78 | (2.14) | 7.74 | |
| STLD | Steel Dynamics | 0.37 | 9 per month | 1.34 | 0.11 | 3.64 | (2.50) | 9.18 | |
| CLF | Cleveland Cliffs | 0.13 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.85 | (2.33) | 17.60 | |
| GGB | Gerdau SA ADR | (0.73) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.33 | (3.49) | 8.49 |
Kumba Iron Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Kumba price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kumba using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kumba charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Kumba Iron Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Kumba Iron stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kumba Iron Ore, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kumba Iron based on analysis of Kumba Iron hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kumba Iron's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kumba Iron's related companies. Story Coverage note for Kumba Iron
The number of cover stories for Kumba Iron depends on current market conditions and Kumba Iron's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kumba Iron is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kumba Iron's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Kumba Iron Short Properties
Kumba Iron's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kumba Iron's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kumba Iron Ore often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kumba Iron's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kumba Iron's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 320.9 M |
Check out Kumba Iron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Kumba Iron Ore information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Kumba Iron's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
Complementary Tools for Kumba Pink Sheet analysis
When running Kumba Iron's price analysis, check to measure Kumba Iron's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kumba Iron is operating at the current time. Most of Kumba Iron's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kumba Iron's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kumba Iron's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kumba Iron to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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