Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha (Austria) Price Prediction
| GAGV Stock | EUR 9.25 0.25 2.63% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
97
Oversold | Overbought |
Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Gurktaler stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha over a specific investment horizon. Using Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft from the perspective of Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gurktaler because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha after-hype prediction price | EUR 9.25 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gurktaler |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's historical news coverage. Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.77 and 14.73, respectively. We have considered Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha is moderately volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.38 | 5.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.25 | 9.25 | 0.00 |
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Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha Hype Timeline
Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha is currently traded for 9.25on Vienna Exchange of Austria. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Gurktaler is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.38%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.25. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.04. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha last dividend was issued on the 28th of September 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's future price movements. Getting to know how Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| UQA | UNIQA Insurance Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.37 | (0.07) | 0.76 | (0.75) | 1.88 | |
| EBS | Erste Group Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.79 | 0.19 | 2.38 | (1.12) | 4.95 | |
| VIG | Vienna Insurance Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.29 | 1.58 | (0.53) | 3.23 | |
| BKS | BKS Bank AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.43 | (0.14) | 0.62 | (0.61) | 3.35 | |
| RBI | Raiffeisen Bank International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.68 | (3.92) | 12.45 |
Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gurktaler price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gurktaler using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gurktaler charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha based on analysis of Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's related companies. Story Coverage note for Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha
The number of cover stories for Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha depends on current market conditions and Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha Short Properties
Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's future price predictability will typically decrease when Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gurktaler Aktiengesellschaft often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Trailing Annual Dividend Rate | 0.08 | |
| Float Shares | 734.32k | |
| Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day | 26 | |
| Average Daily Volume In Three Month | 25 | |
| Trailing Annual Dividend Yield | 0.57% |
Check out Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Complementary Tools for Gurktaler Stock analysis
When running Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's price analysis, check to measure Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha is operating at the current time. Most of Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Gurktaler Aktiengesellscha to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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