Franklin Pennsylvania Tax Free Fund Price Prediction

FRPAX Fund  USD 8.73  0.03  0.34%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Franklin Pennsylvania's the mutual fund price is slightly above 64. This usually indicates that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Franklin, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

64

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Franklin Pennsylvania fund price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Franklin Pennsylvania shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Franklin Pennsylvania's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Franklin Pennsylvania and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Franklin Pennsylvania's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Franklin Pennsylvania Tax Free, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether fund price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Franklin Pennsylvania based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Franklin price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Franklin Pennsylvania over a specific investment horizon. Using Franklin Pennsylvania hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Franklin Pennsylvania Tax Free from the perspective of Franklin Pennsylvania response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Franklin Pennsylvania. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Franklin Pennsylvania to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Franklin because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Franklin Pennsylvania after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.73  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Franklin Pennsylvania Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Franklin Pennsylvania's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.538.738.93
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.468.668.86
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
8.708.768.83
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Franklin Pennsylvania. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Franklin Pennsylvania's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Franklin Pennsylvania's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Franklin Pennsylvania.

Franklin Pennsylvania After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Franklin Pennsylvania at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Franklin Pennsylvania or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Franklin Pennsylvania, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Franklin Pennsylvania Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Franklin Pennsylvania's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Franklin Pennsylvania's historical news coverage. Franklin Pennsylvania's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.53 and 8.93, respectively. We have considered Franklin Pennsylvania's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
8.73
8.73
After-hype Price
8.93
Upside
Franklin Pennsylvania is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Franklin Pennsylvania is based on 3 months time horizon.

Franklin Pennsylvania Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Franklin Pennsylvania is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Franklin Pennsylvania backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Franklin Pennsylvania, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.01 
0.20
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
8.73
8.73
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Franklin Pennsylvania Hype Timeline

Franklin Pennsylvania is currently traded for 8.73. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Franklin is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Franklin Pennsylvania is about 103.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.73. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Franklin Pennsylvania Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Franklin Pennsylvania Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Franklin Pennsylvania's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Franklin Pennsylvania's future price movements. Getting to know how Franklin Pennsylvania's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Franklin Pennsylvania may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
444859BR2HUMANA INC 0.00 0 per month 1.03  0.07  1.73 (0.97) 8.02 
AQUIAquagold International 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BRRAYBarloworld Ltd ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  2.12  0.00  35.79 
MSTSXMorningstar Unconstrained Allocation(0.26)3 per month 0.67  0.01  0.90 (1.29) 3.08 
ABHYXHigh Yield Municipal Fund(0.02)1 per month 0.17 (0.19) 0.34 (0.34) 1.14 
VIASPVia Renewables 0.00 0 per month 1.69  0.15  3.96 (2.60) 13.41 
RRTLXT Rowe Price(0.40)1 per month 0.22 (0.03) 0.59 (0.51) 1.36 
XTWOBondbloxx ETF Trust(0.38)1 per month 0.11 (0.25) 0.19 (0.14) 1.31 
DREQXDreyfus Research Growth 0.00 0 per month 0.80  0.04  1.63 (1.67) 4.22 
KNGFT Cboe Vest(0.88)6 per month 0.55 (0.03) 0.59 (0.90) 2.86 

Franklin Pennsylvania Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Franklin price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Franklin using various technical indicators. When you analyze Franklin charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Franklin Pennsylvania Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Franklin Pennsylvania stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Franklin Pennsylvania Tax Free, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Franklin Pennsylvania based on analysis of Franklin Pennsylvania hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Franklin Pennsylvania's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Franklin Pennsylvania's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Franklin Pennsylvania

The number of cover stories for Franklin Pennsylvania depends on current market conditions and Franklin Pennsylvania's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Franklin Pennsylvania is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Franklin Pennsylvania's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Check out Franklin Pennsylvania Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Franklin Pennsylvania information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Franklin Pennsylvania's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the My Watchlist Analysis module to analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Franklin Pennsylvania's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Franklin Pennsylvania is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Franklin Pennsylvania's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.