First Colombia Gold Stock Price Prediction

FCGD Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
At the present time, the relative strength index (RSI) of First Colombia's share price is approaching 42. This usually indicates that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling First Colombia, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

42

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of First Colombia's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of First Colombia and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from First Colombia's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with First Colombia Gold, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using First Colombia hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of First Colombia Gold from the perspective of First Colombia response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in First Colombia to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying First because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

First Colombia after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 8.0E-5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out First Colombia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of First Colombia's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.00009635.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.0000020.000135.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
0.00010.00010.0001
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as First Colombia. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against First Colombia's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, First Colombia's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in First Colombia Gold.

First Colombia After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of First Colombia at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in First Colombia or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of First Colombia, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

First Colombia Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting First Colombia's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on First Colombia's historical news coverage. First Colombia's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 35.41, respectively. We have considered First Colombia's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0001
0.00008
After-hype Price
35.41
Upside
First Colombia is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of First Colombia Gold is based on 3 months time horizon.

First Colombia Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as First Colombia is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading First Colombia backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with First Colombia, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  4.03 
35.41
 0.00  
  1.23 
0 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0001
0.00008
19.88 
0.00  
Notes

First Colombia Hype Timeline

First Colombia Gold is currently traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 1.23. First is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 8.0E-5. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is insignificant. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -19.88%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 4.03%. The volatility of related hype on First Colombia is about 11571.9%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.23. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. First Colombia Gold had 1:500 split on the 22nd of April 2014. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out First Colombia Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

First Colombia Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to First Colombia's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict First Colombia's future price movements. Getting to know how First Colombia's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how First Colombia may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
REFGMedical Cannabis Pay 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 33.33 (22.22) 125.00 
DHDefinitive Healthcare Corp 0.03 9 per month 0.00 (0.11) 4.02 (3.79) 30.62 
PINCPremier(0.44)8 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.44 (2.38) 9.45 
OMCLOmnicell 2.12 6 per month 1.72  0.05  3.84 (3.07) 11.66 
GDRXGoodrx Holdings 0.21 9 per month 2.83  0.09  5.21 (4.92) 18.06 
EWLLeWellness Healthcare Corp 0.57 19 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
CBDSCannabis Sativa 0.00 0 per month 12.15  0.12  25.83 (21.80) 80.34 
MITIMitesco 0.00 0 per month 19.91  0.12  69.23 (37.21) 127.41 
MDNWFMednow Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
EVAHFEGF Theramed Health 0.57 19 per month 11.06  0.1  40.00 (26.32) 167.36 

First Colombia Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine First price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for First using various technical indicators. When you analyze First charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About First Colombia Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of First Colombia stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Colombia Gold, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Colombia based on analysis of First Colombia hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to First Colombia's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Colombia's related companies.

Story Coverage note for First Colombia

The number of cover stories for First Colombia depends on current market conditions and First Colombia's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that First Colombia is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about First Colombia's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Complementary Tools for First Pink Sheet analysis

When running First Colombia's price analysis, check to measure First Colombia's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy First Colombia is operating at the current time. Most of First Colombia's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of First Colombia's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move First Colombia's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of First Colombia to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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