Ananda Development (Thailand) Price Prediction
| ANAN Stock | THB 0.73 0.01 1.35% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
33
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Ananda Development hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ananda Development Public from the perspective of Ananda Development response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Ananda Development to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Ananda because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Ananda Development after-hype prediction price | THB 0.73 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Ananda |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ananda Development's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ananda Development After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ananda Development at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ananda Development or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ananda Development, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ananda Development Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ananda Development's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ananda Development's historical news coverage. Ananda Development's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.04 and 2.36, respectively. We have considered Ananda Development's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ananda Development is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ananda Development Public is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ananda Development Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ananda Development is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ananda Development backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ananda Development, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 1.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.73 | 0.73 | 0.00 |
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Ananda Development Hype Timeline
Ananda Development Public is presently traded for 0.73on Thailand Exchange of Thailand. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ananda is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ananda Development is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.73. About 62.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.38. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Ananda Development Public recorded a loss per share of 0.33. The entity last dividend was issued on the 11th of May 2020. The firm had 780:779 split on the 4th of November 2021. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Ananda Development Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Ananda Development Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ananda Development's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ananda Development's future price movements. Getting to know how Ananda Development's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ananda Development may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AMATA | Amata Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.06 | 0.08 | 2.20 | (1.69) | 7.41 | |
| ANAN | Ananda Development Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.27 | (2.47) | 11.31 | |
| AP | AP Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 1.94 | (1.95) | 8.86 | |
| AAV | Asia Aviation Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 2.61 | (2.59) | 16.77 | |
| BAFS | Bangkok Aviation Fuel | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.05 | (2.62) | 9.60 |
Ananda Development Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ananda price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ananda using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ananda charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Ananda Development Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Ananda Development stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Ananda Development Public, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Ananda Development based on analysis of Ananda Development hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Ananda Development's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Ananda Development's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Ananda Development
The number of cover stories for Ananda Development depends on current market conditions and Ananda Development's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ananda Development is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ananda Development's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Ananda Development Short Properties
Ananda Development's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ananda Development's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ananda Development Public often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ananda Development's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ananda Development's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 4.2 B |
Other Information on Investing in Ananda Stock
Ananda Development financial ratios help investors to determine whether Ananda Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Ananda with respect to the benefits of owning Ananda Development security.