Alma Media (Finland) Price Prediction
| ALMA Stock | EUR 9.74 0.16 1.62% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
56
Oversold | Overbought |
Alma Media Oyj stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Alma Media shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Alma Media's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Alma Media and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Alma Media's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alma Media Oyj, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Alma Media based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Alma stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Alma Media over a specific investment horizon. Using Alma Media hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alma Media Oyj from the perspective of Alma Media response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Alma Media. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Alma Media to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Alma because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Alma Media after-hype prediction price | EUR 9.74 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Alma |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alma Media's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alma Media After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Alma Media at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alma Media or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Alma Media, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Alma Media Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Alma Media's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alma Media's historical news coverage. Alma Media's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.73 and 10.75, respectively. We have considered Alma Media's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Alma Media is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alma Media Oyj is based on 3 months time horizon.
Alma Media Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alma Media is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alma Media backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alma Media, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.05 | 1.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
9.74 | 9.74 | 0.00 |
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Alma Media Hype Timeline
Alma Media Oyj is presently traded for 9.74on Helsinki Exchange of Finland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Alma is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Alma Media is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.74. About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Alma Media was presently reported as 2.29. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.66. Alma Media Oyj last dividend was issued on the 30th of March 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Alma Media Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Alma Media Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Alma Media's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alma Media's future price movements. Getting to know how Alma Media's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alma Media may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TOKMAN | Tokmanni Group Oyj | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.33 | (2.70) | 10.13 | |
| KEMIRA | Kemira Oyj | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.11 | 0.05 | 2.15 | (1.48) | 7.86 | |
| ELISA | Elisa Oyj | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.08 | (0.03) | 1.90 | (1.82) | 5.28 | |
| VALMT | Valmet Oyj | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.23 | (2.86) | 11.42 | |
| ORNBV | Orion Oyj B | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.22) | 1.30 | (1.97) | 6.70 |
Alma Media Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alma price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alma using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alma charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Alma Media Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Alma Media stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Alma Media Oyj, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alma Media based on analysis of Alma Media hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Alma Media's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Alma Media's related companies. Story Coverage note for Alma Media
The number of cover stories for Alma Media depends on current market conditions and Alma Media's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alma Media is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alma Media's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Alma Media Short Properties
Alma Media's future price predictability will typically decrease when Alma Media's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Alma Media Oyj often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Alma Media's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alma Media's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 82.2 M |
Check out Alma Media Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
Complementary Tools for Alma Stock analysis
When running Alma Media's price analysis, check to measure Alma Media's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alma Media is operating at the current time. Most of Alma Media's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alma Media's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alma Media's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alma Media to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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