Aena SA (Spain) Price Prediction
| AENA Stock | EUR 184.70 2.10 1.15% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
57
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Aena SA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Aena SA from the perspective of Aena SA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Aena SA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Aena because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Aena SA after-hype prediction price | EUR 184.7 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Aena |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Aena SA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Aena SA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Aena SA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Aena SA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Aena SA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Aena SA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Aena SA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Aena SA's historical news coverage. Aena SA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 183.56 and 185.84, respectively. We have considered Aena SA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Aena SA is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Aena SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Aena SA Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Aena SA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Aena SA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Aena SA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.14 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
184.70 | 184.70 | 0.00 |
|
Aena SA Hype Timeline
Aena SA is presently traded for 184.70on Madrid Exchange of Spain. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Aena is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.11%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aena SA is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 184.70. About 25.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Aena SA was presently reported as 45.36. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.14. Aena SA last dividend was issued on the 9th of April 2020. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Aena SA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Aena SA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Aena SA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Aena SA's future price movements. Getting to know how Aena SA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Aena SA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ENC | ENCE Energa y | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.91 | 0.15 | 3.30 | (1.59) | 8.79 | |
| ACX | Acerinox | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.29 | 0.04 | 1.68 | (1.73) | 8.16 | |
| MAP | Mapfre | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.89 | 0.14 | 1.99 | (1.74) | 8.46 |
Aena SA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Aena price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aena using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aena charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Aena SA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Aena SA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Aena SA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Aena SA based on analysis of Aena SA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Aena SA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Aena SA's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Aena SA
The number of cover stories for Aena SA depends on current market conditions and Aena SA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Aena SA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Aena SA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Story Categories
Currently Trending Categories
Aena SA Short Properties
Aena SA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Aena SA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Aena SA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Aena SA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Aena SA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 150 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.5 B |
Complementary Tools for Aena Stock analysis
When running Aena SA's price analysis, check to measure Aena SA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Aena SA is operating at the current time. Most of Aena SA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Aena SA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Aena SA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Aena SA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Investing Opportunities Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences | |
| Commodity Directory Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges | |
| Portfolio Optimization Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk | |
| Idea Analyzer Analyze all characteristics, volatility and risk-adjusted return of Macroaxis ideas | |
| Options Analysis Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios | |
| ETFs Find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world |