Glencore Plc (Germany) Price Prediction
| 8GCA Stock | EUR 11.10 0.10 0.89% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Glencore plc stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Glencore Plc shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Glencore Plc's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Glencore Plc and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Glencore Plc's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Glencore plc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Glencore Plc based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Glencore stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Glencore Plc over a specific investment horizon. Using Glencore Plc hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Glencore plc from the perspective of Glencore Plc response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Glencore Plc. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Glencore Plc to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Glencore because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Glencore Plc after-hype prediction price | EUR 11.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Glencore |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Glencore Plc's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Glencore Plc After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Glencore Plc at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Glencore Plc or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Glencore Plc, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Glencore Plc Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Glencore Plc's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Glencore Plc's historical news coverage. Glencore Plc's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.99 and 13.21, respectively. We have considered Glencore Plc's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Glencore Plc is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Glencore plc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Glencore Plc Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Glencore Plc is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Glencore Plc backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Glencore Plc, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.46 | 2.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
11.10 | 11.10 | 0.00 |
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Glencore Plc Hype Timeline
Glencore plc is presently traded for 11.10on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Glencore is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.46%. %. The volatility of related hype on Glencore Plc is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 11.10. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.79. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Glencore plc has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.41. The entity last dividend was issued on the 1st of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Glencore Plc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Glencore Plc Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Glencore Plc's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Glencore Plc's future price movements. Getting to know how Glencore Plc's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Glencore Plc may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NU42 | Ribbon Communications | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.11 | 0.01 | 3.88 | (3.94) | 30.86 | |
| GME | Geratherm Medical AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.20 | (3.96) | 13.15 | |
| QCH | COMPUTERSHARE | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.84 | 0.04 | 1.91 | (1.31) | 6.09 | |
| WIJ | WILLIS LEASE FIN | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.19 | 0.20 | 4.76 | (2.59) | 12.43 | |
| AQA | Advanced Medical Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.21 | 0.02 | 2.59 | (2.78) | 12.68 | |
| IQ3 | GMO Internet | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.60 | (4.05) | 15.53 | |
| N4Q1 | Hemisphere Energy Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.28 | 0.13 | 2.86 | (2.63) | 7.78 |
Glencore Plc Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Glencore price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Glencore using various technical indicators. When you analyze Glencore charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Glencore Plc Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Glencore Plc stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Glencore plc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Glencore Plc based on analysis of Glencore Plc hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Glencore Plc's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Glencore Plc's related companies. Story Coverage note for Glencore Plc
The number of cover stories for Glencore Plc depends on current market conditions and Glencore Plc's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Glencore Plc is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Glencore Plc's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Glencore Plc Short Properties
Glencore Plc's future price predictability will typically decrease when Glencore Plc's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Glencore plc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Glencore Plc's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Glencore Plc's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 12.8 B |
Check out Glencore Plc Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Glencore plc information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Glencore Plc's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.
Complementary Tools for Glencore Stock analysis
When running Glencore Plc's price analysis, check to measure Glencore Plc's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Glencore Plc is operating at the current time. Most of Glencore Plc's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Glencore Plc's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Glencore Plc's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Glencore Plc to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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