BES Engineering (Taiwan) Price Prediction

2515 Stock  TWD 16.90  0.55  3.36%   
At this time, the value of RSI of BES Engineering's share price is approaching 48. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BES Engineering, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

48

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
BES Engineering stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of BES Engineering shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of BES Engineering's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of BES Engineering and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from BES Engineering's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BES Engineering Co, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
The BES stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on BES Engineering over a specific investment horizon. Using BES Engineering hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BES Engineering Co from the perspective of BES Engineering response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in BES Engineering. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in BES Engineering to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying BES because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

BES Engineering after-hype prediction price

    
  TWD 16.9  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out BES Engineering Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of BES Engineering's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.7713.6218.59
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
14.8717.7220.57
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
14.9116.5118.10
Details

BES Engineering After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of BES Engineering at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BES Engineering or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BES Engineering, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

BES Engineering Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting BES Engineering's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BES Engineering's historical news coverage. BES Engineering's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 14.05 and 19.75, respectively. We have considered BES Engineering's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
16.90
16.90
After-hype Price
19.75
Upside
BES Engineering is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BES Engineering is based on 3 months time horizon.

BES Engineering Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BES Engineering is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BES Engineering backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BES Engineering, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.50 
2.85
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
16.90
16.90
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

BES Engineering Hype Timeline

BES Engineering is presently traded for 16.90on Taiwan Stock Exchange of Taiwan. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. BES is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.5%. %. The volatility of related hype on BES Engineering is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.90. About 18.0% of the company shares are owned by insiders or employees . The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 0.57. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. BES Engineering last dividend was issued on the 22nd of September 2022. The entity had 105:100 split on the 12th of September 2007. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out BES Engineering Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

BES Engineering Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to BES Engineering's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BES Engineering's future price movements. Getting to know how BES Engineering's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BES Engineering may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

BES Engineering Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine BES price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BES using various technical indicators. When you analyze BES charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About BES Engineering Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of BES Engineering stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as BES Engineering Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BES Engineering based on analysis of BES Engineering hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to BES Engineering's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to BES Engineering's related companies.

Story Coverage note for BES Engineering

The number of cover stories for BES Engineering depends on current market conditions and BES Engineering's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BES Engineering is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BES Engineering's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

BES Engineering Short Properties

BES Engineering's future price predictability will typically decrease when BES Engineering's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BES Engineering Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BES Engineering's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BES Engineering's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding1.5 B

Additional Tools for BES Stock Analysis

When running BES Engineering's price analysis, check to measure BES Engineering's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy BES Engineering is operating at the current time. Most of BES Engineering's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of BES Engineering's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move BES Engineering's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of BES Engineering to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.