State Farm Growth Fund Price Prediction
| STFGX Fund | USD 119.00 0.10 0.08% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
68
Oversold | Overbought |
Using State Farm hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of State Farm Growth from the perspective of State Farm response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in State Farm to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying State because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
State Farm after-hype prediction price | USD 119.02 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
State |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of State Farm's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
State Farm After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of State Farm at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in State Farm or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of State Farm, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
State Farm Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting State Farm's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on State Farm's historical news coverage. State Farm's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 118.34 and 119.70, respectively. We have considered State Farm's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
State Farm is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of State Farm Growth is based on 3 months time horizon.
State Farm Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as State Farm is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading State Farm backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with State Farm, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 0.68 | 0.02 | 0.11 | 3 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
119.00 | 119.02 | 0.02 |
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State Farm Hype Timeline
State Farm Growth is at this time traded for 119.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. State is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 119.02 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.02%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on State Farm is about 50.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 119.11. The company reported the revenue of 98.69 M. Net Income was 94.3 M. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out State Farm Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.State Farm Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to State Farm's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict State Farm's future price movements. Getting to know how State Farm's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how State Farm may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| VTSMX | Vanguard Total Stock | (0.73) | 12 per month | 0.58 | 0.06 | 1.18 | (1.20) | 2.90 | |
| VFINX | Vanguard 500 Index | 3.42 | 1 per month | 0.57 | 0.07 | 1.19 | (1.20) | 2.77 |
State Farm Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine State price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for State using various technical indicators. When you analyze State charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About State Farm Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of State Farm stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as State Farm Growth, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of State Farm based on analysis of State Farm hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to State Farm's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to State Farm's related companies.
Story Coverage note for State Farm
The number of cover stories for State Farm depends on current market conditions and State Farm's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that State Farm is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about State Farm's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in State Mutual Fund
State Farm financial ratios help investors to determine whether State Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in State with respect to the benefits of owning State Farm security.
| Fundamental Analysis View fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements | |
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| Portfolio Rebalancing Analyze risk-adjusted returns against different time horizons to find asset-allocation targets |