Eurobank Ergasias (Greece) Price Prediction

EUROB Stock  EUR 2.03  0.02  0.98%   
The value of RSI of Eurobank Ergasias' the stock price is about 69 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Eurobank, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

69

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Eurobank Ergasias' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Eurobank Ergasias Services, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Eurobank Ergasias hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eurobank Ergasias Services from the perspective of Eurobank Ergasias response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Eurobank Ergasias to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Eurobank because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Eurobank Ergasias after-hype prediction price

    
  EUR 2.03  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Eurobank Ergasias Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Eurobank Ergasias' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.673.47
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
0.191.993.78
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
1.982.062.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Eurobank Ergasias. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Eurobank Ergasias' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Eurobank Ergasias' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Eurobank Ergasias.

Eurobank Ergasias After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Eurobank Ergasias at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eurobank Ergasias or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Eurobank Ergasias, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Eurobank Ergasias Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Eurobank Ergasias' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eurobank Ergasias' historical news coverage. Eurobank Ergasias' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.23 and 3.83, respectively. We have considered Eurobank Ergasias' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.03
2.03
After-hype Price
3.83
Upside
Eurobank Ergasias is unstable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eurobank Ergasias is based on 3 months time horizon.

Eurobank Ergasias Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eurobank Ergasias is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eurobank Ergasias backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eurobank Ergasias, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.13 
1.79
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.03
2.03
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Eurobank Ergasias Hype Timeline

Eurobank Ergasias is currently traded for 2.03on Athens Exchange of Greece. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Eurobank is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on Eurobank Ergasias is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.03. About 33.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.61. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Eurobank Ergasias last dividend was issued on the 24th of September 2020. The entity had 1:100 split on the 27th of November 2015. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days.
Check out Eurobank Ergasias Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Eurobank Ergasias Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Eurobank Ergasias' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eurobank Ergasias' future price movements. Getting to know how Eurobank Ergasias' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eurobank Ergasias may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Eurobank Ergasias Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Eurobank price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eurobank using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eurobank charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Eurobank Ergasias Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Eurobank Ergasias stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Eurobank Ergasias Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Eurobank Ergasias based on analysis of Eurobank Ergasias hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Eurobank Ergasias's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Eurobank Ergasias's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Eurobank Ergasias

The number of cover stories for Eurobank Ergasias depends on current market conditions and Eurobank Ergasias' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eurobank Ergasias is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eurobank Ergasias' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Eurobank Ergasias Short Properties

Eurobank Ergasias' future price predictability will typically decrease when Eurobank Ergasias' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Eurobank Ergasias Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Eurobank Ergasias' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eurobank Ergasias' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.7 B

Complementary Tools for Eurobank Stock analysis

When running Eurobank Ergasias' price analysis, check to measure Eurobank Ergasias' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Eurobank Ergasias is operating at the current time. Most of Eurobank Ergasias' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Eurobank Ergasias' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Eurobank Ergasias' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Eurobank Ergasias to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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