Citizens Bancorp Investment Stock Price Prediction
| CBTN Stock | USD 26.50 0.50 1.85% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
22
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Citizens Bancorp based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Citizens Bancorp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Citizens Bancorp Investment from the perspective of Citizens Bancorp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Citizens Bancorp. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Citizens Bancorp to buy its otc stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Citizens because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell otc stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Citizens Bancorp after-hype prediction price | USD 26.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Citizens |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Citizens Bancorp's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Citizens Bancorp After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Citizens Bancorp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Citizens Bancorp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Citizens Bancorp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Citizens Bancorp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Citizens Bancorp's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Citizens Bancorp's historical news coverage. Citizens Bancorp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.49 and 28.51, respectively. We have considered Citizens Bancorp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Citizens Bancorp is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Citizens Bancorp Inv is based on 3 months time horizon.
Citizens Bancorp OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Citizens Bancorp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Citizens Bancorp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Citizens Bancorp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.46 | 2.01 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
26.50 | 26.50 | 0.00 |
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Citizens Bancorp Hype Timeline
Citizens Bancorp Inv is currently traded for 26.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.12. Citizens is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.46%. %. The volatility of related hype on Citizens Bancorp is about 754.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 26.62. The company last dividend was issued on the 31st of January 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Citizens Bancorp Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Citizens Bancorp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Citizens Bancorp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Citizens Bancorp's future price movements. Getting to know how Citizens Bancorp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Citizens Bancorp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| IROQ | IF Bancorp | 0.18 | 6 per month | 0.80 | 0.04 | 2.03 | (1.58) | 7.51 | |
| HBCP | Home Bancorp | 0.18 | 8 per month | 1.61 | 0.04 | 2.77 | (2.68) | 10.12 | |
| CNOBP | ConnectOne Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.12 | 0.07 | 1.96 | (1.99) | 6.66 | |
| HMNF | HMN Financial | (0.13) | 6 per month | 1.26 | 0.04 | 2.94 | (2.18) | 22.69 | |
| FNWB | First Northwest Bancorp | 0.18 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 3.04 | (7.24) | 12.97 | |
| CWBC | Community West Bancshares | (0.44) | 8 per month | 1.17 | 0.06 | 3.38 | (2.09) | 33.38 | |
| FFNW | First Financial Northwest | (0.09) | 6 per month | 0.66 | 0.03 | 1.52 | (0.99) | 5.38 | |
| GSBC | Great Southern Bancorp | 2.25 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 2.50 | (2.67) | 8.86 |
Citizens Bancorp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Citizens price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Citizens using various technical indicators. When you analyze Citizens charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Citizens Bancorp Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Citizens Bancorp stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Citizens Bancorp Investment, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Citizens Bancorp based on analysis of Citizens Bancorp hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Citizens Bancorp's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Citizens Bancorp's related companies.
Story Coverage note for Citizens Bancorp
The number of cover stories for Citizens Bancorp depends on current market conditions and Citizens Bancorp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Citizens Bancorp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Citizens Bancorp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Citizens Bancorp Short Properties
Citizens Bancorp's future price predictability will typically decrease when Citizens Bancorp's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Citizens Bancorp Investment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Citizens Bancorp's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Citizens Bancorp's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.9 M |
Other Information on Investing in Citizens OTC Stock
Citizens Bancorp financial ratios help investors to determine whether Citizens OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Citizens with respect to the benefits of owning Citizens Bancorp security.