Bumi Teknokultura (Indonesia) Price Prediction
| BTEK Stock | IDR 3.00 0.00 0.00% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Bumi Teknokultura Unggul stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Bumi Teknokultura shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Bumi Teknokultura's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Bumi Teknokultura and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Bumi Teknokultura's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Bumi Teknokultura Unggul, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Bumi Teknokultura based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Bumi stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Bumi Teknokultura over a specific investment horizon. Using Bumi Teknokultura hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Bumi Teknokultura Unggul from the perspective of Bumi Teknokultura response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Bumi Teknokultura. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Bumi Teknokultura to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Bumi because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Bumi Teknokultura after-hype prediction price | IDR 3.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Bumi |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Bumi Teknokultura's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Bumi Teknokultura After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Bumi Teknokultura at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Bumi Teknokultura or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Bumi Teknokultura, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Bumi Teknokultura Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Bumi Teknokultura's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Bumi Teknokultura's historical news coverage. Bumi Teknokultura's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.15 and 9.00, respectively. We have considered Bumi Teknokultura's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Bumi Teknokultura is very risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Bumi Teknokultura Unggul is based on 3 months time horizon.
Bumi Teknokultura Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Bumi Teknokultura is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Bumi Teknokultura backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Bumi Teknokultura, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
5.07 | 6.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In 5 to 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.00 | 3.00 | 0.00 |
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Bumi Teknokultura Hype Timeline
Bumi Teknokultura Unggul is currently traded for 3.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Bumi is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -5.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Bumi Teknokultura is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.00. About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.57. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Bumi Teknokultura Unggul recorded a loss per share of 2.79. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of July 2005. The firm had 8:1 split on the 15th of August 2017. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days. Check out Bumi Teknokultura Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Bumi Teknokultura Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Bumi Teknokultura's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Bumi Teknokultura's future price movements. Getting to know how Bumi Teknokultura's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Bumi Teknokultura may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BTON | Betonjaya Manunggal Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.70 | (0.01) | 3.00 | (3.38) | 9.22 | |
| FPNI | Lotte Chemical Titan | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 1.61 | (2.60) | 7.01 | |
| IPOL | Indopoly Swakarsa Industry | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 4.80 | (4.55) | 10.11 | |
| BAJA | Saranacentral Bajatama Tbk | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.26 | (5.83) | 46.03 | |
| NIKL | Pelat Timah Nusantara | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.10 | 0.05 | 20.19 | (9.80) | 39.11 |
Bumi Teknokultura Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Bumi price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Bumi using various technical indicators. When you analyze Bumi charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Bumi Teknokultura Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Bumi Teknokultura stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Bumi Teknokultura Unggul, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Bumi Teknokultura based on analysis of Bumi Teknokultura hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Bumi Teknokultura's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Bumi Teknokultura's related companies. Story Coverage note for Bumi Teknokultura
The number of cover stories for Bumi Teknokultura depends on current market conditions and Bumi Teknokultura's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Bumi Teknokultura is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Bumi Teknokultura's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Bumi Teknokultura Short Properties
Bumi Teknokultura's future price predictability will typically decrease when Bumi Teknokultura's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Bumi Teknokultura Unggul often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Bumi Teknokultura's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Bumi Teknokultura's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 46.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.3 B |
Check out Bumi Teknokultura Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Complementary Tools for Bumi Stock analysis
When running Bumi Teknokultura's price analysis, check to measure Bumi Teknokultura's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Bumi Teknokultura is operating at the current time. Most of Bumi Teknokultura's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Bumi Teknokultura's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Bumi Teknokultura's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Bumi Teknokultura to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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