FKS Food (Indonesia) Price Prediction

AISA Stock  IDR 121.00  2.00  1.63%   
As of now, the value of RSI of FKS Food's share price is approaching 41. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling FKS Food, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

41

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
FKS Food Sejahtera stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of FKS Food shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of FKS Food's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of FKS Food and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from FKS Food's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with FKS Food Sejahtera, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of FKS Food based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The FKS stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on FKS Food over a specific investment horizon. Using FKS Food hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FKS Food Sejahtera from the perspective of FKS Food response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in FKS Food. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in FKS Food to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FKS because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

FKS Food after-hype prediction price

    
  IDR 121.0  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out FKS Food Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FKS Food's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.4891.96133.10
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
116.46117.93119.41
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
116.89120.58124.28
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as FKS Food. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against FKS Food's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, FKS Food's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in FKS Food Sejahtera.

FKS Food After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of FKS Food at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FKS Food or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FKS Food, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

FKS Food Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting FKS Food's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FKS Food's historical news coverage. FKS Food's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 119.52 and 122.48, respectively. We have considered FKS Food's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
121.00
119.52
Downside
121.00
After-hype Price
122.48
Upside
FKS Food is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FKS Food Sejahtera is based on 3 months time horizon.

FKS Food Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FKS Food is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FKS Food backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FKS Food, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.14 
1.48
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
121.00
121.00
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

FKS Food Hype Timeline

FKS Food Sejahtera is presently traded for 121.00on Jakarta Exchange of Indonesia. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. FKS is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.14%. %. The volatility of related hype on FKS Food is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 121.00. About 64.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.75. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. FKS Food Sejahtera recorded a loss per share of 0.72. The entity last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2014. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next estimated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out FKS Food Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

FKS Food Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to FKS Food's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FKS Food's future price movements. Getting to know how FKS Food's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FKS Food may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

FKS Food Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine FKS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FKS using various technical indicators. When you analyze FKS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About FKS Food Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of FKS Food stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as FKS Food Sejahtera, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of FKS Food based on analysis of FKS Food hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to FKS Food's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to FKS Food's related companies.

Story Coverage note for FKS Food

The number of cover stories for FKS Food depends on current market conditions and FKS Food's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that FKS Food is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about FKS Food's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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FKS Food Short Properties

FKS Food's future price predictability will typically decrease when FKS Food's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of FKS Food Sejahtera often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential FKS Food's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. FKS Food's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.8 B
Cash And Short Term Investments58.6 B
Check out FKS Food Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Stocks Directory module to find actively traded stocks across global markets.

Complementary Tools for FKS Stock analysis

When running FKS Food's price analysis, check to measure FKS Food's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy FKS Food is operating at the current time. Most of FKS Food's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of FKS Food's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move FKS Food's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of FKS Food to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between FKS Food's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FKS Food is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, FKS Food's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.