Harley Davidson Stock Forecast - Value At Risk
| HOG Stock | USD 35.41 0.83 2.29% |
Harley Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Harley Davidson stock prices and determine the direction of Harley Davidson's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Harley Davidson's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Harley Davidson's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Harley Davidson's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Harley Davidson fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Harley Davidson to cross-verify your projections. Harley |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 Harley Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Harley Davidson's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Harley Davidson's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Harley Davidson stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Harley Davidson's open interest, investors have to compare it to Harley Davidson's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Harley Davidson is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Harley. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Harley Davidson cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Harley Davidson's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Harley Davidson's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
| Check Harley Davidson Volatility | Backtest Harley Davidson | Information Ratio |
Harley Davidson Trading Date Momentum
| On May 16 2024 Harley Davidson was traded for 35.41 at the closing time. Highest Harley Davidson's price during the trading hours was 36.18 and the lowest price during the day was 35.39 . The net volume was 916 K. The overall trading history on the 16th of May 2024 did not cause price change. The trading delta at closing time to current price is 2.12% . |
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Other Forecasting Options for Harley Davidson
For every potential investor in Harley, whether a beginner or expert, Harley Davidson's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Harley Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Harley. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Harley Davidson's price trends.Harley Davidson Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Harley Davidson stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Harley Davidson could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Harley Davidson by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Harley Davidson Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Harley Davidson's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Harley Davidson's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Momentum Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Harley Davidson Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Harley Davidson stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Harley Davidson shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Harley Davidson stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Harley Davidson entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 20001.19 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (1.05) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.98 | |||
| Day Median Price | 35.78 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 35.66 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.79) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.83) |
Harley Davidson Risk Indicators
The analysis of Harley Davidson's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Harley Davidson's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting harley stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.64 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.72 | |||
| Variance | 7.41 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Harley Davidson is a strong investment it is important to analyze Harley Davidson's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Harley Davidson's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Harley Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Harley Davidson to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Harley Stock please use our How to Invest in Harley Davidson guide.You can also try the USA ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) in USA.
Complementary Tools for Harley Stock analysis
When running Harley Davidson's price analysis, check to measure Harley Davidson's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Harley Davidson is operating at the current time. Most of Harley Davidson's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Harley Davidson's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Harley Davidson's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Harley Davidson to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Harley Davidson's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Harley Davidson. If investors know Harley will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Harley Davidson listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.16) | Dividend Share 0.668 | Earnings Share 4.55 | Revenue Per Share 41.299 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) |
The market value of Harley Davidson is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Harley that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Harley Davidson's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Harley Davidson's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Harley Davidson's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Harley Davidson's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Harley Davidson's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Harley Davidson is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Harley Davidson's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.