Made Tech (UK) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 16.50

MTEC Stock   16.50  0.50  2.94%   
Made Tech's future price is the expected price of Made Tech instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Made Tech Group performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Made Tech Backtesting, Made Tech Valuation, Made Tech Correlation, Made Tech Hype Analysis, Made Tech Volatility, Made Tech History as well as Made Tech Performance.
  
Please specify Made Tech's target price for which you would like Made Tech odds to be computed.

Made Tech Target Price Odds to finish over 16.50

The tendency of Made Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 16.50 90 days 16.50 
about 22.4
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Made Tech to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 22.4 (This Made Tech Group probability density function shows the probability of Made Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Made Tech has a beta of 0.68. This indicates as returns on the market go up, Made Tech average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Made Tech Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Moreover Made Tech Group has an alpha of 1.1508, implying that it can generate a 1.15 percent excess return over Dow Jones Industrial after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Made Tech Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Made Tech

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Made Tech Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Made Tech's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.3816.2424.10
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
9.6217.4825.34
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
8.7616.6224.48
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.300.300.30
Details

Made Tech Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Made Tech is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Made Tech's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Made Tech Group, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Made Tech within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
1.15
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.68
σ
Overall volatility
2.86
Ir
Information ratio 0.15

Made Tech Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Made Tech for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Made Tech Group can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Made Tech Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Made Tech Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Made Tech Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 40.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.39 M.
Made Tech generates negative cash flow from operations
About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: With Made Tech Group Up 11, Insider Buyers Count Their Returns - Yahoo Finance

Made Tech Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Made Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Made Tech's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Made Tech's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding148.9 M
Cash And Short Term Investments8.5 M

Made Tech Technical Analysis

Made Tech's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Made Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Made Tech Group. In general, you should focus on analyzing Made Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Made Tech Predictive Forecast Models

Made Tech's time-series forecasting models is one of many Made Tech's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Made Tech's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Made Tech Group

Checking the ongoing alerts about Made Tech for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Made Tech Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Made Tech Group is way too risky over 90 days horizon
Made Tech Group appears to be risky and price may revert if volatility continues
Made Tech Group has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years
The company reported the revenue of 40.2 M. Net Loss for the year was (1.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 14.39 M.
Made Tech generates negative cash flow from operations
About 48.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders
Latest headline from news.google.com: With Made Tech Group Up 11, Insider Buyers Count Their Returns - Yahoo Finance

Additional Tools for Made Stock Analysis

When running Made Tech's price analysis, check to measure Made Tech's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Made Tech is operating at the current time. Most of Made Tech's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Made Tech's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Made Tech's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Made Tech to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.