Siam Cement Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

SCC-R Stock  THB 209.00  116.00  35.69%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of The Siam Cement on the next trading day is expected to be 209.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.95 and the sum of the absolute errors of 174.00. Siam Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Siam Cement stock prices and determine the direction of The Siam Cement's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Siam Cement's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Siam Cement is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Siam Cement Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of The Siam Cement on the next trading day is expected to be 209.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.95, mean absolute percentage error of 285.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 174.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Siam Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Siam Cement's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Siam Cement Stock Forecast Pattern

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Siam Cement Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Siam Cement's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Siam Cement's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 204.46 and 213.54, respectively. We have considered Siam Cement's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
209.00
204.46
Downside
209.00
Expected Value
213.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Siam Cement stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Siam Cement stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.0875
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.9492
MADMean absolute deviation2.9492
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0141
SAESum of the absolute errors174.0
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of The Siam Cement price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Siam Cement. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Siam Cement

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Siam Cement. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
204.46209.00213.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
195.38199.92229.90
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Siam Cement

For every potential investor in Siam, whether a beginner or expert, Siam Cement's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Siam Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Siam. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Siam Cement's price trends.

Siam Cement Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Siam Cement stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Siam Cement could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Siam Cement by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Siam Cement Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Siam Cement's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Siam Cement's current price.

Siam Cement Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Siam Cement stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Siam Cement shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Siam Cement stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The Siam Cement entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Siam Cement Risk Indicators

The analysis of Siam Cement's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Siam Cement's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting siam stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Siam Stock

Siam Cement financial ratios help investors to determine whether Siam Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Siam with respect to the benefits of owning Siam Cement security.