Commerce Bancshares Stock Analysis
CBSH Stock | USD 55.41 0.03 0.05% |
Commerce Bancshares is overvalued with Real Value of 52.74 and Target Price of 51.33. The main objective of Commerce Bancshares stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Commerce Bancshares is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Commerce Bancshares' stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Commerce Bancshares' performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Commerce Bancshares' stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Commerce Bancshares stock is traded in the USA on NASDAQ Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Commerce Bancshares is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Commerce Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Commerce Bancshares' ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Commerce |
Commerce Stock Analysis Notes
About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Commerce Bancshares was currently reported as 22.7. The company last dividend was issued on the 5th of June 2024. Commerce Bancshares had 105:100 split on the 1st of December 2021. Commerce Bancshares, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for Commerce Bank that provides retail, mortgage banking, corporate, investment, trust, and asset management products and services to individuals and businesses in the United States. Commerce Bancshares, Inc. was founded in 1865 and is headquartered in Kansas City, Missouri. Commerce Bancshares operates under BanksRegional classification in the United States and is traded on NASDAQ Exchange. It employs 4595 people. For more info on Commerce Bancshares please contact David Kemper at 816 234 2000 or go to https://www.commercebank.com.Commerce Bancshares Quarterly Total Revenue |
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Commerce Bancshares Investment Alerts
Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Commerce Bancshares' investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Commerce Bancshares or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Commerce Bancshares has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
On 25th of March 2024 Commerce Bancshares paid $ 0.27 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from finance.yahoo.com: Commerce Bancshares Has Affirmed Its Dividend Of 0.27 |
Commerce Bancshares Upcoming and Recent Events
Earnings reports are used by Commerce Bancshares to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Commerce Bancshares previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
16th of April 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
17th of July 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
31st of March 2024 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
16th of January 2025 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
31st of December 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
31st of December 2023 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Commerce Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Commerce Bancshares' stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2010-01-14 | 2009-12-31 | 0.29 | 0.32 | 0.03 | 10 | ||
2012-04-12 | 2012-03-31 | 0.39 | 0.43 | 0.04 | 10 | ||
2011-07-14 | 2011-06-30 | 0.4 | 0.44 | 0.04 | 10 |
Commerce Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Commerce Bancshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Commerce Bancshares backward and forwards among themselves. Commerce Bancshares' institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Commerce Bancshares' securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Dimensional Fund Advisors, Inc. | 2023-12-31 | 1.7 M | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 1.3 M | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-12-31 | 1.3 M | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-12-31 | 1.2 M | Btim Corp | 2023-12-31 | 1.1 M | Bank Of America Corp | 2023-12-31 | 1 M | Goldman Sachs Group Inc | 2023-12-31 | 1 M | Charles Schwab Investment Management Inc | 2023-12-31 | 977.9 K | Cooke & Bieler Lp | 2023-12-31 | 972.3 K | Vanguard Group Inc | 2025-12-12 | 12.4 M | Blackrock Inc | 2023-12-31 | 11 M |
Commerce Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a current market capitalization of 7.19 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Commerce Bancshares's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Commerce Bancshares's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.Commerce Profitablity
Commerce Bancshares' profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Commerce Bancshares' ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Commerce Bancshares is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Commerce Bancshares' executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Commerce Bancshares' profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Commerce Bancshares' financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Profit Margin (PM) of 0.3 %, which maeans that even a very small decline in it revenue will erase profits resulting in a net loss. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.39 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.39. Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Return On Tangible Assets | 0.02 | 0.01 | |
Return On Capital Employed | (0.0004) | (0.0004) | |
Return On Assets | 0.02 | 0.01 | |
Return On Equity | 0.16 | 0.10 |
Management Efficiency
Commerce Bancshares has return on total asset (ROA) of 0.0154 % which means that it generated a profit of $0.0154 on every $100 spent on assets. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows a return on stockholder's equity (ROE) of 0.1701 %, meaning that it created $0.1701 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. Commerce Bancshares' management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Commerce Bancshares manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. The current Return On Tangible Assets is estimated to decrease to 0.01. The Commerce Bancshares' current Return On Capital Employed is estimated to increase to -0.0004. As of now, Commerce Bancshares' Net Tangible Assets are increasing as compared to previous years. The Commerce Bancshares' current Intangibles To Total Assets is estimated to increase to 0.01, while Total Assets are projected to decrease to under 19.2 B.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Book Value Per Share | 22.66 | 23.79 | |
Net Current Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Book Value Per Share | 21.58 | 23.07 | |
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | (882.99) | (838.84) | |
Price Book Value Ratio | 2.36 | 1.54 | |
Enterprise Value Multiple | (882.99) | (838.84) | |
Price Fair Value | 2.36 | 1.54 | |
Enterprise Value | 6.9 B | 7.3 B |
The analysis of Commerce Bancshares' management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Commerce Bancshares' future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Commerce Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield 0.0195 | Forward Dividend Yield 0.0195 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.08 | Beta 0.791 |
Technical Drivers
As of the 27th of April, Commerce Bancshares shows the Mean Deviation of 1.06, downside deviation of 1.38, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0284. Commerce Bancshares technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We are able to interpolate and collect nineteen technical drivers for Commerce Bancshares, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm Commerce Bancshares information ratio, as well as the relationship between the value at risk and expected short fall to decide if Commerce Bancshares is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 55.41 per share. Given that Commerce Bancshares has jensen alpha of (0.04), we suggest you to validate Commerce Bancshares's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.Commerce Bancshares Price Movement Analysis
null. The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of zero. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Commerce Bancshares middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Commerce Bancshares. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
Commerce Bancshares Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Commerce Bancshares insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Commerce Bancshares' material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Commerce Bancshares insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Commerce Bancshares Predictive Daily Indicators
Commerce Bancshares intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Commerce Bancshares stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Commerce Bancshares Corporate Filings
8K | 18th of April 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
8K | 16th of April 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
F4 | 27th of March 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 12th of March 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
8th of March 2024 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
F4 | 6th of March 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 5th of March 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 4th of March 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
Commerce Bancshares Forecast Models
Commerce Bancshares' time-series forecasting models are one of many Commerce Bancshares' stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Commerce Bancshares' historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.About Commerce Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Commerce Bancshares prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Commerce shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Commerce Bancshares. By using and applying Commerce Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Commerce entry and exit points for their positions.
Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Pretax Profit Margin | 0.31 | 0.28 | |
Operating Profit Margin | (0) | (0) | |
Net Profit Margin | 0.24 | 0.19 | |
Gross Profit Margin | 0.91 | 0.79 |
Current Commerce Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Commerce analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Commerce analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
51.33 | Buy | 8 | Odds |
Most Commerce analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Commerce stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Commerce Bancshares, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Commerce conference calls.
Commerce Stock Analysis Indicators
Commerce Bancshares stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Commerce Bancshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Commerce Bancshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Commerce Bancshares stock analysis, traders can identify Commerce Bancshares position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow | 897.8 M | |
Long Term Debt | 1.4 M | |
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 130.1 M | |
Total Stockholder Equity | 2.9 B | |
Tax Provision | 136.7 M | |
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | -0.052 | |
Property Plant And Equipment Net | 469.1 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 10.4 B | |
Cash | 2.7 B | |
Net Debt | 228.1 M | |
50 Day M A | 52.4548 | |
Total Current Liabilities | 10.9 B | |
Other Operating Expenses | 1.3 B | |
Non Current Assets Total | 28.5 B | |
Forward Price Earnings | 15.748 | |
Non Currrent Assets Other | 938.1 M | |
Stock Based Compensation | 17.1 M |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Commerce Bancshares. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in state. For more detail on how to invest in Commerce Stock please use our How to Invest in Commerce Bancshares guide.You can also try the Latest Portfolios module to quick portfolio dashboard that showcases your latest portfolios.
Complementary Tools for Commerce Stock analysis
When running Commerce Bancshares' price analysis, check to measure Commerce Bancshares' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Commerce Bancshares is operating at the current time. Most of Commerce Bancshares' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Commerce Bancshares' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Commerce Bancshares' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Commerce Bancshares to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Commerce Bancshares' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Commerce Bancshares. If investors know Commerce will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Commerce Bancshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.05) | Dividend Share 1.041 | Earnings Share 3.64 | Revenue Per Share 12.095 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.041 |
The market value of Commerce Bancshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Commerce that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Commerce Bancshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Commerce Bancshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Commerce Bancshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Commerce Bancshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Commerce Bancshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Commerce Bancshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Commerce Bancshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.