Mister Car Wash Stock Price Prediction
| MCW Stock | USD 7.13 0.30 4.04% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
65
Oversold | Overbought |
Mister Car Wash stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Mister Car shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Mister Car's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Mister Car and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Mister Car's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Mister Car Wash, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Mister Car's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.09 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.32 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.38 | Wall Street Target Price 9.57 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Mister Car based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Mister stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Mister Car over a specific investment horizon. Using Mister Car hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Mister Car Wash from the perspective of Mister Car response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Mister Car using Mister Car's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Mister using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Mister Car's stock price.
Mister Car Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Mister Car's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Mister. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Mister Car stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Mister Car may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Mister Car and may potentially protect profits, hedge Mister Car with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 7.2429 | Short Percent 0.1397 | Short Ratio 8.27 | Shares Short Prior Month 12.9 M | 50 Day MA 7.246 |
Mister Car Wash Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Mister Car's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Mister. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Mister can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Mister Car Wash. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Mister Car's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Mister Car.
Mister Car Implied Volatility | 0.0 |
Mister Car's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Mister Car Wash stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Mister Car's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Mister Car stock will not fluctuate a lot when Mister Car's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Mister Car. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Mister Car to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Mister because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Mister Car after-hype prediction price | USD 7.14 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Mister |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mister Car's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mister Car After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Mister Car at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Mister Car or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Mister Car, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Mister Car Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Mister Car's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Mister Car's historical news coverage. Mister Car's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.41 and 9.87, respectively. We have considered Mister Car's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Mister Car is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Mister Car Wash is based on 3 months time horizon.
Mister Car Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Mister Car is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Mister Car backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Mister Car, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 2.73 | 0.01 | 0.08 | 10 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.13 | 7.14 | 0.14 |
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Mister Car Hype Timeline
On the 19th of May Mister Car Wash is traded for 7.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.08. Mister is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 7.14 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price increase on the next news is projected to be 0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Mister Car is about 1186.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.05. The company reported the last year's revenue of 927.07 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 80.13 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 290.26 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Mister Car Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Mister Car Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Mister Car's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Mister Car's future price movements. Getting to know how Mister Car's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Mister Car may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PRRWF | Park Lawn | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 2.29 | (4.14) | 11.72 | |
| FTDR | Frontdoor | 0.15 | 9 per month | 1.70 | 0.01 | 1.96 | (2.42) | 12.29 | |
| ROL | Rollins | (0.07) | 10 per month | 0.88 | 0.06 | 2.13 | (1.78) | 4.88 | |
| MED | MEDIFAST INC | (1.00) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.26) | 4.12 | (6.34) | 28.37 |
Mister Car Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Mister price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Mister using various technical indicators. When you analyze Mister charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Mister Car Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Mister Car stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Mister Car Wash, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Mister Car based on analysis of Mister Car hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Mister Car's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Mister Car's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0292 | 0.0259 | Price To Sales Ratio | 2.9 | 2.75 |
Story Coverage note for Mister Car
The number of cover stories for Mister Car depends on current market conditions and Mister Car's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Mister Car is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Mister Car's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Mister Car Short Properties
Mister Car's future price predictability will typically decrease when Mister Car's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Mister Car Wash often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Mister Car's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mister Car's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 328.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19 M |
Check out Mister Car Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Mister Car Wash information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mister Car's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Complementary Tools for Mister Stock analysis
When running Mister Car's price analysis, check to measure Mister Car's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mister Car is operating at the current time. Most of Mister Car's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mister Car's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mister Car's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mister Car to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mister Car's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mister Car. If investors know Mister will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mister Car listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Earnings Share 0.23 | Revenue Per Share 3.002 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.059 | Return On Assets 0.0385 |
The market value of Mister Car Wash is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mister that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mister Car's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mister Car's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mister Car's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mister Car's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mister Car's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mister Car is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mister Car's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.