Mister Car Wash Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 7.14
| MCW Stock | USD 7.03 0.24 3.53% |
Closest to current price Mister long CALL Option Payoff at Expiration
Mister |
Mister Car Target Price Odds to finish over 7.14
The tendency of Mister Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over $ 7.14 or more in 90 days |
| 7.03 | 90 days | 7.14 | about 60.29 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Mister Car to move over $ 7.14 or more in 90 days from now is about 60.29 (This Mister Car Wash probability density function shows the probability of Mister Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Mister Car Wash price to stay between its current price of $ 7.03 and $ 7.14 at the end of the 90-day period is about 8.85 .
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.88 . This indicates as the benchmark fluctuates upward, the company is expected to outperform it on average. However, if the benchmark returns are projected to be negative, Mister Car will likely underperform. Additionally Mister Car Wash has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Mister Car Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Mister Car
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Mister Car Wash. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Mister Car's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Mister Car Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Mister Car is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Mister Car's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Mister Car Wash, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Mister Car within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.29 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.88 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.11 |
Mister Car Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Mister Car for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Mister Car Wash can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Mister Car Wash generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mister Car Wash has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has 1.77 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.24, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Mister Car Wash has a current ratio of 0.55, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Mister Car until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mister Car's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mister Car Wash sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mister to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mister Car's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 98.0% of Mister Car shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Mister Car Wash Announces Participation in the William Blair 44th Annual Growth Stock Conference |
Mister Car Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Mister Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Mister Car's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Mister Car's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 328.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 19 M |
Mister Car Technical Analysis
Mister Car's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Mister Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Mister Car Wash. In general, you should focus on analyzing Mister Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Mister Car Predictive Forecast Models
Mister Car's time-series forecasting models is one of many Mister Car's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Mister Car's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Mister Car Wash
Checking the ongoing alerts about Mister Car for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Mister Car Wash help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Mister Car Wash generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Mister Car Wash has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| The company has 1.77 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 2.24, meaning that the company heavily relies on borrowing funds for operations. Mister Car Wash has a current ratio of 0.55, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Mister Car until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Mister Car's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Mister Car Wash sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Mister to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Mister Car's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| Over 98.0% of Mister Car shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from businesswire.com: Mister Car Wash Announces Participation in the William Blair 44th Annual Growth Stock Conference |
Check out Mister Car Backtesting, Mister Car Valuation, Mister Car Correlation, Mister Car Hype Analysis, Mister Car Volatility, Mister Car History as well as Mister Car Performance. Note that the Mister Car Wash information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Mister Car's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Complementary Tools for Mister Stock analysis
When running Mister Car's price analysis, check to measure Mister Car's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Mister Car is operating at the current time. Most of Mister Car's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Mister Car's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Mister Car's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Mister Car to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Mister Car's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Mister Car. If investors know Mister will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Mister Car listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.17) | Earnings Share 0.23 | Revenue Per Share 3.002 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.059 | Return On Assets 0.0385 |
The market value of Mister Car Wash is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Mister that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Mister Car's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Mister Car's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Mister Car's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Mister Car's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Mister Car's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Mister Car is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Mister Car's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.