Forestar Group Stock Performance
| FOR Stock | USD 31.18 0.19 0.61% |
The firm shows a Beta (market volatility) of 2.27, which means a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Forestar will likely underperform. Forestar Group right now shows a risk of 2.59%. Please confirm Forestar Group treynor ratio, kurtosis, as well as the relationship between the Kurtosis and day typical price , to decide if Forestar Group will be following its price patterns.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
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Very Weak
Over the last 90 days Forestar Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Even with relatively invariable basic indicators, Forestar is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price agitation, may contribute to short-term losses for the retail investors. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 0.61 | Five Day Return (0.1) | Year To Date Return (3.71) | Ten Year Return 80.54 | All Time Return 29.92 |
1 | Acquisition by Parmer Elizabeth of 2000 shares of Forestar subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/01/2024 |
2 | Disposition of 2000 shares by Parmer Elizabeth of Forestar subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/05/2024 |
3 | Forestar Group Soars 6.1 percent Is Further Upside Left in the Stock | 03/08/2024 |
4 | Disposition of 679 shares by Samuel Fuller of Forestar subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/18/2024 |
5 | Disposition of 1095 shares by Samuel Fuller of Forestar subject to Rule 16b-3 | 03/21/2024 |
6 | Forestar Group Surges 6.3 percent Is This an Indication of Further Gains | 03/28/2024 |
7 | Acquisition by G Ringler of 1207 shares of Forestar subject to Rule 16b-3 | 04/09/2024 |
8 | Forestar Group Downgraded to Hold at StockNews.com - MarketBeat | 04/12/2024 |
9 | 04/17/2024 |
10 | Forestar Reports Fiscal 2024 Second Quarter Results | 04/18/2024 |
11 | Q2 2024 Forestar Group Inc Earnings Call Transcript | 04/19/2024 |
12 | Will Weakness in Forestar Group Inc.s Stock Prove Temporary Given Strong Fundamentals | 04/23/2024 |
13 | Results Forestar Group Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates | 04/26/2024 |
14 | Acquisition by James Allen of 2519 shares of Forestar subject to Rule 16b-3 | 05/01/2024 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 264.8 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | 300 K |
Forestar |
Forestar Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 3,126 in Forestar Group on February 2, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (8.00) from holding Forestar Group or give up 0.26% of portfolio value over 90 days. Forestar Group is generating 0.0294% of daily returns assuming volatility of 2.5894% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 22% of stocks are less volatile than Forestar, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Forestar Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Forestar's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Forestar Group, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Forestar's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = 0.0113
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| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns | FOR |
Estimated Market Risk
| 2.59 actual daily | 22 78% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| 0.03 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| 0.01 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Forestar is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Forestar by adding Forestar to a well-diversified portfolio.
Forestar Fundamentals Growth
Forestar Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Forestar, and Forestar fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Forestar Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.15 | ||||
| Return On Asset | 0.0625 | ||||
| Profit Margin | 0.13 % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.16 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 1.87 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 50.6 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | 8.42 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.33 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 1.23 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.44 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 323.5 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 207.8 M | ||||
| Net Income | 166.9 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 616 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 2.94 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 695 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 0.62 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 0.93 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 29.09 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 364.1 M | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | 4.03 X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.57 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 2.47 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | 674.8 M | ||||
| Working Capital | 382.3 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 111.47 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 59.26 M | ||||
About Forestar Performance
To evaluate Forestar Group Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Forestar generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Forestar Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Forestar Group market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Forestar's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 8.21 | 7.80 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.07 | 0.07 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.05 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.07 | 0.07 | |
| Return On Equity | 0.08 | 0.09 |
Things to note about Forestar Group performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Forestar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Forestar Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| The company has 695 M in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.62, which is OK given its current industry classification. Forestar Group has a current ratio of 0.91, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Forestar until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Forestar's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Forestar Group sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Forestar to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Forestar's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| About 63.0% of Forestar shares are held by company insiders | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Results Forestar Group Inc. Exceeded Expectations And The Consensus Has Updated Its Estimates |
- Analyzing Forestar's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Forestar's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Forestar's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Forestar's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Forestar's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Forestar's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Forestar's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out Investing Opportunities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Forestar Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in persons. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
Complementary Tools for Forestar Stock analysis
When running Forestar's price analysis, check to measure Forestar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Forestar is operating at the current time. Most of Forestar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Forestar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Forestar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Forestar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Forestar's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Forestar. If investors know Forestar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Forestar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.652 | Earnings Share 4.03 | Revenue Per Share 31.117 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.107 | Return On Assets 0.0625 |
The market value of Forestar Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Forestar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Forestar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Forestar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Forestar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Forestar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Forestar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Forestar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Forestar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.