Analysis of WTFC - Wintrust Financial Corporation

In this post I will go over Wintrust Financial. I will address the reasons why this entity was insulated from the current market uncertainty. What is Wintrust Financial Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price? Depending on normal probability distribution, the odds of Wintrust Financial to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 27.19%. The Wintrust Financial Corporation probability density function shows the probability of Wintrust Financial Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days . Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Wintrust Financial Corporation has beta of -0.041 . This means as returns on benchmark increase, returns on holding Wintrust Financial are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, however, Wintrust Financial Corporation is likely to outperform the market. Additionally, the company has a negative alpha implying that the risk taken by holding this equity is not justified. Wintrust Financial is significantly underperforming S&P 500.
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Vlad Skutelnik

Wintrust Financial has performance score of 1 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm maintains market beta of -0.041 which attests that as returns on market increase, returns on owning Wintrust Financial are expected to decrease at a much smaller rate. During bear market, Wintrust Financial is likely to outperform the market. Although it is extremely important to respect Wintrust Financial historical price patterns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity current price history. The philosophy towards determining future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By examining Wintrust Financial technical indicators you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.0479% will be sustainable into the future. Wintrust Financial right now maintains a risk of 1.9657%. Please check out Wintrust Financial Variance, Maximum Drawdown as well as the relationship between Maximum Drawdown and Semi Variance to decide if Wintrust Financial will be following its historical returns.
What is the right price you would pay to acquire a share of Wintrust Financial? For most investors, it would be the price that gives them a wide margin of safety to have minimal downside risk. In other words, most investors are always looking for undervalued stocks. Even if the future performance is not entirely as expected, the loss of holding it is minimized, and the downside risk is negated. Please read more on our stock advisor page.

What is happening with Wintrust Financial this year

Annual and quarterly reports issued by Wintrust Financial are formal financial statements that are published yearly and quarterly and sent to Wintrust stockholders. The reports show and break down the current year's ongoing operations and discuss plans for the upcoming year. Annual reports have been a requirement from the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) for businesses owned by the public since 1934.
Companies such as Wintrust Financial often view their annual report as an effective marketing tool to disseminate their perspective on company future earnings or innovations. With this in mind, many companies devote large sums of money to making their reports attractive and informative. In such instances, the annual report becomes a forum through which a company can communicate to the general public any number of topics that may or may not be directly related to the actual data published in the reports.

Wintrust Financial Gross Profit

Wintrust Financial Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Wintrust Financial previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Wintrust Financial Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Wintrust Financial's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

What is driving Wintrust Financial Investor Appetite?

Wintrust Financial currently holds 1.61B in liabilities with Debt to Equity (D/E) ratio of 8.74 indicating the stock may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. The current investor indifference towards the small price fluctuations of Wintrust Financial may raise some interest from investors as it closed today at a share price of 73.08 on 213196.000 in trading volume. The company executives did not add any value to Wintrust Financial Corporation investors in April. However, most investors can still diversify their portfolios with Wintrust Financial to hedge your portfolio against high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days (very short) investing horizon is currently 1.9657. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for a longer term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors. Wintrust Financial makes 1.61b total debt. Wintrust Financial is selling for under 74.62. That is 3.29 percent up. Day Low was 73.08. Wintrust Financial Share Based Compensation is somewhat stable at the moment.
Revenue Per EmployeeNet Income Per Employee
 2013 0.00  0.00 
 2014 0.00  0.00 
 2015 0.00  0.00 
 2018 0.00  0.00 
 2019 (projected) 0.00  0.00 
To conclude, our concluding buy-sell advice on the company is Cautious Hold. Wintrust Financial is currently overvalued with below average chance of distress for the next two years.

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