Keep your Safety Insurance shares in September 2019

Here I will expose some important fundamental factors effecting the firm products and services and how it will impact Safety Insurance outlook for investors this year. What is Safety Insurance Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price? Attributed to normal probability distribution, the odds of Safety Insurance to move above current price in 30 days from now is about 88.62%. The Safety Insurance Group probability density function shows the probability of Safety Insurance Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 30 days . Given the investment horizon of 30 days, Safety Insurance has beta of 0.7809 . This entails as returns on market go up, Safety Insurance average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However during bear market, the loss on holding Safety Insurance Group will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally, the company has an alpha of 0.0141 implying that it can potentially generate 0.0141% excess return over S&P 500 after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
Published over a year ago
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Reviewed by Rifka Kats

The company is overvalued at 76.63 per share with modest projections ahead. The entity has beta of 0.7809 which indicates as returns on market increase, Safety Insurance returns are expected to increase less than the market. However during bear market, the loss on holding Safety Insurance will be expected to be smaller as well. Even though it is essential to pay attention to Safety Insurance current price movements, it is always good to be careful when utilizing equity historical returns. Macroaxis philosophy towards measuring future performance of any stock is to check both, its past performance charts as well as the business as a whole, including all available technical indicators. Safety Insurance Group exposes twenty-one different technical indicators which can help you to evaluate its performance. Safety Insurance has expected return of -0.0078%. Please be advised to validate Safety Insurance Downside Deviation, Jensen Alpha as well as the relationship between Jensen Alpha and Downside Variance to decide if Safety Insurance past performance will be repeated at some point in the near future.
The performance of Safety Insurance Group in the marketplace will significantly impact your decision to invest in its stock. Revenue growth, profitability, competitive positioning, management quality, and industry trends can influence Safety Insurance's stock prices. When investing in Safety Insurance, there are several factors to consider and potential outcomes to expect. As a company performs well, its stock price may increase, allowing investors to benefit from price appreciation. However, Safety Stock can experience significant price fluctuations due to market conditions, economic factors, industry trends, or company-specific news. This is why investing in stocks such as Safety Insurance carries risks, including the potential for capital loss. Stock prices can decline, and investors may incur losses if they sell shares at a lower price than their initial investment.

And What about dividends?

A dividend is the distribution of a portion of Safety Insurance earnings, decided and managed by the company's board of directors and paid to a class of its shareholders. Note, announcements of dividend payouts are generally accompanied by a proportional increase or decrease in a company's stock price. Safety Insurance dividend payments follow a chronological order of events, and the associated dates are important to determine the shareholders who qualify for receiving the dividend payment. Safety one year expected dividend income is about USD2.4 per share.
Dividend Payout Ratio is likely to gain to 2.96 in 2024, whereas Dividends Paid is likely to drop slightly above 36.1 M in 2024.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Dividends Paid53.3 M36.1 M
Dividend Yield 0.05  0.03 
Dividend Payout Ratio 2.82  2.96 
Dividend Paid And Capex Coverage Ratio 1.01  0.96 
Investing in dividend-paying stocks, such as Safety Insurance Group is one of the few strategies that are good for long-term investment. Ex-dividend dates are significant because investors in Safety Insurance must own a stock before its ex-dividend date to receive its next dividend.
This type of analysis is very useful when you want to generate a past dividend schedule and payout information for Safety Insurance. Then that information in the form of graph and calendar can be used to fully explain how Du Pont dividends can provide a real clue to its valuation.

How important is Safety Insurance's Liquidity

Safety Insurance financial leverage refers to using borrowed capital as a funding source to finance Safety Insurance Group ongoing operations. It is usually used to expand the firm's asset base and generate returns on borrowed capital. Safety Insurance financial leverage is typically calculated by taking the company's all interest-bearing debt and dividing it by total capital. So the higher the debt-to-capital ratio (i.e., financial leverage), the riskier the company. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Safety Insurance's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Safety Insurance's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets). Please check the breakdown between Safety Insurance's total debt and its cash.

Safety Insurance Gross Profit

Safety Insurance Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing Safety Insurance previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show Safety Insurance Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check Safety Insurance's gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.

What is driving Safety Insurance Investor Appetite?

Safety Insurance has return on total asset (ROA) of 4.23 % which means that it generated profit of $4.23 on every $100 spent on asset. This is normal as compared to the sector avarege. Similarly, it shows return on stockholders equity (ROE) of 13.94 % meaning that it created $13.94 on every $100 dollars invested by stockholders. The small decline in market price for the last few months has created some momentum for investors as it was traded today as low as 93.85 and as high as 95.61 per share. The company executives did not add much value to Safety Insurance investors in July. However, diversifying your holdings with Safety Insurance Group or similar stocks can still protect your portfolio during high-volatility market scenarios. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days (very short) investing horizon is currently 1.1899. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for a longer term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors. Safety Insurance preserves 102.64m of net income. Safety Insurance is trading at 94.18. This is 1.2 percent decrease. Today highest was 95.61. Safety Insurance Gross Margin is increasing over the last 4 years. Moreover, Safety Insurance Weighted Average Shares is comparatively stable at the moment.
Share Based CompensationNet Cash Flow from Operations
 2018 0.00  0.00 
 2019 (projected) 0.00  0.00 
To conclude, we see that Safety Insurance Follows market closely. The firm is overvalued with very low probability of financial unrest within the next 24 months. Our primary buy/sell recommendation on the firm is Strong Hold.

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Editorial Staff

This story should be regarded as informational only and should not be considered a solicitation to sell or buy any financial products. Macroaxis does not express any opinion as to the present or future value of any investments referred to in this post. This post may not be reproduced without the consent of Macroaxis LLC. Macroaxis LLC and Ellen Johnson do not own shares of Safety Insurance Group. Please refer to our Terms of Use for any information regarding our disclosure principles.

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