| 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2018 | 2019 (projected) | First Citizens PPandE Turnover | 1.21 | 1.10 | 1.27 | 1.46 | 1.59 | First Citizens Calculated Tax Rate | 36.64 | 31.94 | 36.71 | 42.22 | 42.55 |
Is First Citizens getting out of control?
 | By Rifka Kats | Macroaxis Story |
First Citizens BancS is currently traded for437.34. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.58. The average price elasticity to hype of competition is about 0.06. The firm is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 436.76. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 38.94%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.13% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on First Citizens is about 352.47% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 437.4. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. First Citizens dividends can provide a clue to current valuation of the stock. The firm one year expected dividend income is about $0.67 per share.
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Reviewed by Gabriel Shpitalnik
First Citizens has performance score of 8 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm shows Beta (market volatility) of 0.0 which denotes to the fact that the returns on MARKET and First Citizens are completely uncorrelated. Although it is extremely important to respect First Citizens BancS historical returns, it is better to be realistic regarding the information on equity current trending patterns. The philosophy towards predicting future performance of any stock is to evaluate the business as a whole together with its past performance including all available fundamental and technical indicators. By reviewing First Citizens BancS technical indicators you can presently evaluate if the expected return of 0.1707% will be sustainable into the future. First Citizens BancS right now shows a risk of 1.3181%. Please confirm First Citizens BancS Treynor Ratio, Downside Variance, Kurtosis, as well as the relationship between Value At Risk and Expected Short fall to decide if First Citizens BancS will be following its price patterns. The successful prediction of First Citizens stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as First Citizens BancShares, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of First Citizens based on First Citizens hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to First Citizens's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to First Citizens's related companies.
A focus of First Citizens technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of First Citizens trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...
Use Technical Analysis to project First expected Price
First Citizens technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.
First Citizens Gross Profit
First Citizens Gross Profit growth is one of the most critical measures in evaluating the company. The Gross Profit growth rate is calculated simply by comparing First Citizens previous period's values with its current period's values. Each time period you're measuring should be of equal lengths the increase or decrease, in a company's Gross Profit between two periods. Here we show First Citizens Gross Profit growth over the last 10 years. Please check First Citizens' gross profit and other fundamental indicators for more details.
Is First Citizens valued fairly by the market?
This firm currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with current market capitalization of 5.04B. The modest gains experienced by current holders of First Citizens could raise concerns from investors as the firm closed today at a share price of 435.18 on 47917.000 in volume. The company directors and management have been quite successful with maneuvering the stock at opportune times to take advantage of all market conditions in April. The stock standard deviation of daily returns for 30 days (very short) investing horizon is currently 1.3181. The below-average Stock volatility is a good sign for a longer term investment options and for buy-and-hold investors. First Citizens preserves 411.44m of net income. First Citizens is selling at 437.34. That is 0.05 percent increase. Day high is 441.33. First Citizens Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit is increasing over the last 5 years. The previous year value of First Citizens Accumulated Retained Earnings Deficit was 1,789,915,447. Further, First Citizens Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization USD is increasing over the last 5 years. The previous year value of First Citizens Earnings Before Interest Taxes and Depreciation Amortization USD was 333,755,632.
All things considered, our present buy/sell advice on the company is Strong Hold. First Citizens is currently fairly valued with below average probability of distress for the next two years.
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