Tillys Inc Stock Current Valuation
| TLYS Stock | USD 6.07 0.16 2.57% |
Valuation analysis of Tillys Inc helps investors to measure Tillys' intrinsic value by examining its available valuation indicators, including the cash flow records, the balance sheet account changes and income statement patterns. At this time, Tillys' Enterprise Value Over EBITDA is comparatively stable compared to the past year. Enterprise Value Multiple is likely to gain to 7.60 in 2024, whereas Enterprise Value is likely to drop slightly above 422 M in 2024. Fundamental drivers impacting Tillys' valuation include:
Price Book 1.2115 | Enterprise Value 323.2 M | Enterprise Value Ebitda (29.21) | Price Sales 0.2817 | Forward PE 16.129 |
Undervalued
Today
Please note that Tillys' price fluctuation is somewhat reliable at this time. Calculation of the real value of Tillys Inc is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing Tillys' time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
Our valuation method for Tillys Inc is useful when determining the fair value of the Tillys stock, which is usually determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of Tillys. Since Tillys is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of Tillys Stock. However, Tillys' intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value. | Historical | Market 6.07 | Real 7.12 | Target 10.0 | Hype 6.09 | Naive 6.18 |
The real value of Tillys Stock, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of Tillys Inc Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on Tillys' financial performance, assets, liabilities, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of Tillys' stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, news, and other external factors that may influence Tillys' stock price. It is important to note that the real value of any stock may change over time based on changes in the company's performance.
Estimating the potential upside or downside of Tillys Inc helps investors to forecast how Tillys stock's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of Tillys more accurately as focusing exclusively on Tillys' fundamentals will not take into account other important factors: Tillys Inc Company Current Valuation Analysis
Tillys' Enterprise Value is a firm valuation proxy that approximates the current market value of a company. It is typically used to determine the takeover or merger price of a firm. Unlike Market Cap, this measure takes into account the entire liquid asset, outstanding debt, and exotic equity instruments that the company has on its balance sheet. When a takeover occurs, the parent company will have to assume the target company's liabilities but will take possession of all cash and cash equivalents.
Current Tillys Current Valuation | 323.17 M |
Most of Tillys' fundamental indicators, such as Current Valuation, are part of a valuation analysis module that helps investors searching for stocks that are currently trading at higher or lower prices than their real value. If the real value is higher than the market price, Tillys Inc is considered to be undervalued, and we provide a buy recommendation. Otherwise, we render a sell signal.
Tillys Current Valuation Driver Correlations
Understanding the fundamental principles of building solid financial models for Tillys is extremely important. It helps to project a fair market value of Tillys Stock properly, considering its historical fundamentals such as Current Valuation. Since Tillys' main accounts across its financial reports are all linked and dependent on each other, it is essential to analyze all possible correlations between related accounts. However, instead of reviewing all of Tillys' historical financial statements, investors can examine the correlated drivers to determine its overall health. This can be effectively done using a conventional correlation matrix of Tillys' interrelated accounts and indicators.
Click cells to compare fundamentals
Enterprise Value can be a useful tool to compare companies with different capital structures. Long term liability and current cash or cash equivalents can have a huge impact on market valuation of a given company.
| Competition |
In accordance with the recently published financial statements, Tillys Inc has a Current Valuation of 323.17 M. This is 98.21% lower than that of the Specialty Retail sector and significantly higher than that of the Consumer Discretionary industry. The current valuation for all United States stocks is 98.06% higher than that of the company.
Tillys Current Valuation Peer Comparison
Stock peer comparison is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It analyses Tillys' direct or indirect competition against its Current Valuation to detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics or determine the stocks which would be a good addition to a portfolio. Peer analysis of Tillys could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Tillys by comparing valuation metrics of similar companies.Tillys is currently under evaluation in current valuation category among related companies.
Tillys ESG Sustainability
Some studies have found that companies with high sustainability scores are getting higher valuations than competitors with lower social-engagement activities. While most ESG disclosures are voluntary and do not directly affect the long term financial condition, Tillys' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Tillys' managers, analysts, and investors.Environmental | Governance | Social |
Tillys Fundamentals
| Return On Equity | -0.21 | ||||
| Return On Asset | -0.038 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.06) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | (0.04) % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 323.17 M | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 22.75 M | ||||
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 2.42 % | ||||
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 97.58 % | ||||
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 495.5 K | ||||
| Price To Earning | 4.16 X | ||||
| Price To Book | 1.21 X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.28 X | ||||
| Revenue | 623.08 M | ||||
| Gross Profit | 206.41 M | ||||
| EBITDA | (14.72 M) | ||||
| Net Income | (34.49 M) | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 116.38 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 3.87 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 231.59 M | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 1.47 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 1.59 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | 4.83 X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (6.73 M) | ||||
| Short Ratio | 8.57 X | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (1.16) X | ||||
| Price To Earnings To Growth | 0.98 X | ||||
| Target Price | 7.88 | ||||
| Number Of Employees | 1.54 K | ||||
| Beta | 1.64 | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 186.65 M | ||||
| Total Asset | 488.75 M | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (27.96 M) | ||||
| Working Capital | 71.5 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 166.78 M | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 55.81 M | ||||
| Net Asset | 488.75 M |
About Tillys Fundamental Analysis
The Macroaxis Fundamental Analysis modules help investors analyze Tillys Inc's financials across various querterly and yearly statements, indicators and fundamental ratios. We help investors to determine the real value of Tillys using virtually all public information available. We use both quantitative as well as qualitative analysis to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tillys Inc based on its fundamental data. In general, a quantitative approach, as applied to this company, focuses on analyzing financial statements comparatively, whereas a qaualitative method uses data that is important to a company's growth but cannot be measured and presented in a numerical way.
Please read more on our fundamental analysis page.
Pair Trading with Tillys
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Tillys position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Tillys will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with Tillys Stock
| 0.78 | FL | Foot Locker | PairCorr |
| 0.77 | HD | Home Depot Financial Report 21st of May 2024 | PairCorr |
Moving against Tillys Stock
| 0.67 | LAUR | Laureate Education | PairCorr |
| 0.47 | MPX | Marine Products Financial Report 24th of July 2024 | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Tillys could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Tillys when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Tillys - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Tillys Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Tillys is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Tillys moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Tillys Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Tillys can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Tillys Piotroski F Score and Tillys Altman Z Score analysis. You can also try the Portfolio Comparator module to compare the composition, asset allocations and performance of any two portfolios in your account.
Complementary Tools for Tillys Stock analysis
When running Tillys' price analysis, check to measure Tillys' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tillys is operating at the current time. Most of Tillys' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tillys' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tillys' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tillys to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Tillys' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tillys. If investors know Tillys will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tillys listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.97) | Earnings Share (1.16) | Revenue Per Share 20.875 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets (0.04) |
The market value of Tillys Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tillys that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tillys' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tillys' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tillys' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tillys' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tillys' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tillys is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tillys' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.