Triumph Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| TGI Stock | USD 14.32 0.03 0.21% |
Triumph Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Triumph stock prices and determine the direction of Triumph Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Triumph's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Triumph's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Triumph's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Triumph fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Triumph to cross-verify your projections. Triumph |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 Triumph Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Triumph's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Triumph's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Triumph stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Triumph's open interest, investors have to compare it to Triumph's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Triumph is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Triumph. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Triumph cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Triumph's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Triumph's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Triumph is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Triumph Group to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Triumph trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 15280.25 | 8968.95 |
| Check Triumph Volatility | Backtest Triumph | Trend Details |
Triumph Trading Date Momentum
| On March 14 2024 Triumph Group was traded for 13.62 at the closing time. Highest Triumph's price during the trading hours was 13.88 and the lowest price during the day was 13.50 . The net volume was 869.7 K. The overall trading history on the 14th of March 2024 contributed to the next trading period price depreciation. The trading price change to the next next day price was 1.87% . The trading price change to current price is 2.74% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Triumph to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Triumph
For every potential investor in Triumph, whether a beginner or expert, Triumph's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Triumph Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Triumph. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Triumph's price trends.Triumph Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Triumph stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Triumph could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Triumph by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Triumph Group Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Triumph's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Triumph's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Triumph Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Triumph stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Triumph shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Triumph stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Triumph Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Triumph Risk Indicators
The analysis of Triumph's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Triumph's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting triumph stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.92 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Variance | 7.35 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.24 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.9 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.45) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Triumph to cross-verify your projections. Note that the Triumph Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Triumph's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Complementary Tools for Triumph Stock analysis
When running Triumph's price analysis, check to measure Triumph's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Triumph is operating at the current time. Most of Triumph's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Triumph's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Triumph's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Triumph to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Triumph's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Triumph. If investors know Triumph will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Triumph listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.31) | Earnings Share (0.72) | Revenue Per Share 19.77 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.089 | Return On Assets 0.0552 |
The market value of Triumph Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Triumph that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Triumph's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Triumph's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Triumph's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Triumph's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Triumph's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Triumph is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Triumph's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.