Triumph Group Stock Performance
| TGI Stock | USD 13.66 0.24 1.79% |
The entity has a beta of 1.41, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Triumph will likely underperform. Triumph Group has an expected return of -0.18%. Please make sure to validate Triumph potential upside, as well as the relationship between the rate of daily change and period momentum indicator , to decide if Triumph Group performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
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Over the last 90 days Triumph Group has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. Despite latest weak performance, the Stock's technical and fundamental indicators remain strong and the recent confusion on Wall Street may also be a sign of long-lasting gains for the firm traders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return 1.79 | Five Day Return 5.24 | Year To Date Return (15.16) | Ten Year Return (78.62) | All Time Return 25.61 |
Last Split Factor 2:1 | Dividend Date 2020-03-16 | Ex Dividend Date 2020-02-28 | Last Split Date 2011-07-15 |
1 | First Eagle Investment Management LLC Acquires 109,731 Shares of Triumph Group, Inc. | 02/06/2024 |
2 | TRIUMPH ANNOUNCES OFFER TO PURCHASE A PORTION OF ITS 9.000 percent SENIOR SECURED FIRST LIEN NOTES DUE MARCH 14, 2028 | 02/16/2024 |
3 | 12,633 Shares in Triumph Group, Inc. Purchased by Sherbrooke Park Advisers LLC | 03/04/2024 |
4 | Triumph Group Down 0.8 percent Since Last Earnings Report Can It Rebound | 03/08/2024 |
5 | TGI Fridays Cures Busted Bracket Blues with Free Wings for Defeated Game Day Fans | 03/14/2024 |
6 | Goldman Sachs Neutra on Triumph Group stock, sets 18 target on aerospace recovery | 03/20/2024 |
7 | Wolfe Research upgrades Triumph Group to Outperform, eyes 25 percent upside to new PT | 03/28/2024 |
8 | Triumph Group, Inc. Shares Acquired by Assenagon Asset Management S.A. - Defense World | 04/01/2024 |
9 | L3Harris to Sell Antenna Related Business for 200M | 04/08/2024 |
10 | Barnes Expands East Granby MRO Facility for Engine Projects | 04/11/2024 |
11 | JPMorgan upgrades Triumph Group stock, sees strategic improvements | 04/15/2024 |
12 | Disposition of 19895 shares by James McCabe of Triumph subject to Rule 16b-3 | 04/28/2024 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 240.9 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -27.2 M |
Triumph |
Triumph Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 1,595 in Triumph Group on January 29, 2024 and sell it today you would lose (229.00) from holding Triumph Group or give up 14.36% of portfolio value over 90 days. Triumph Group is generating negative expected returns assuming volatility of 3.3926% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. In other words, 30% of stocks are less volatile than Triumph, and above 99% of all equities are expected to generate higher returns over the next 90 days. Expected Return |
| Risk |
Triumph Market Risk Analysis
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Triumph's investment risk. Standard deviation is the most common way to measure market volatility of stocks, such as Triumph Group, and traders can use it to determine the average amount a Triumph's price has deviated from the expected return over a period of time. It is calculated by determining the expected price for the established period and then subtracting this figure from each price point. The differences are then squared, summed, and averaged to produce the variance.
Sharpe Ratio = -0.054
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| Cash | Small Risk | Average Risk | High Risk | Huge Risk |
| Negative Returns | TGI |
Estimated Market Risk
| 3.39 actual daily | 30 70% of assets are more volatile |
Expected Return
| -0.18 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets have higher returns |
Risk-Adjusted Return
| -0.05 actual daily | 0 Most of other assets perform better |
Based on monthly moving average Triumph is not performing at its full potential. However, if added to a well diversified portfolio the total return can be enhanced and market risk can be reduced. You can increase risk-adjusted return of Triumph by adding Triumph to a well-diversified portfolio.
Triumph Fundamentals Growth
Triumph Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Triumph, and Triumph fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Triumph Stock performance.
| Return On Asset | 0.0552 | ||||
| Profit Margin | (0.04) % | ||||
| Operating Margin | 0.07 % | ||||
| Current Valuation | 2.52 B | ||||
| Shares Outstanding | 76.87 M | ||||
| Price To Earning | (23.51) X | ||||
| Price To Sales | 0.74 X | ||||
| Revenue | 1.38 B | ||||
| Gross Profit | 386.88 M | ||||
| EBITDA | 196.76 M | ||||
| Net Income | 89.59 M | ||||
| Cash And Equivalents | 227.4 M | ||||
| Cash Per Share | 1.61 X | ||||
| Total Debt | 1.69 B | ||||
| Debt To Equity | 319.20 % | ||||
| Current Ratio | 2.25 X | ||||
| Book Value Per Share | (8.72) X | ||||
| Cash Flow From Operations | (52.25 M) | ||||
| Earnings Per Share | (0.72) X | ||||
| Market Capitalization | 1.05 B | ||||
| Total Asset | 1.71 B | ||||
| Retained Earnings | (1.21 B) | ||||
| Working Capital | 536.59 M | ||||
| Current Asset | 1.74 B | ||||
| Current Liabilities | 1.14 B | ||||
About Triumph Performance
To evaluate Triumph Group Stock as a possible investment, you need to clearly understand its upside potential, downside risk, and overall future performance outlook. You may be satisfied when Triumph generates a 15% return over the last few months, but what if the market is generating 25% over the same period? In this case, it makes sense to compare Triumph Stock's performance with different market indexes, such as the Dow or NASDAQ Composite. These indexes can act as benchmarks that will help you to understand Triumph Group market performance in a much more refined way. The Macroaxis performance score is an integer between 0 and 100 that represents Triumph's market performance from a risk-adjusted return perspective. Generally speaking, the higher the score, the better is overall performance as compared to other investors. The score is normalized against the average investing universe (the best we can interpret from the data available). Within this methodology, scores of individual equity instruments will always be inferior to the scores of portfolios of equities as portfolios typically diversify a lot of unsystematic risks away. The formula to derive the Macroaxis score bases on multiple unequally-weighted factors. For more information, refer to our portfolio performance evaluation section.
Please also refer to our technical analysis and fundamental analysis pages.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Days Of Inventory On Hand | 164.77 | 151.70 | |
| Return On Tangible Assets | 0.09 | 0.1 | |
| Return On Capital Employed | 0.14 | 0.09 | |
| Return On Assets | 0.06 | 0.06 | |
| Return On Equity | (0.13) | (0.12) |
Things to note about Triumph Group performance evaluation
Checking the ongoing alerts about Triumph for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Triumph Group help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Triumph Group generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Triumph Group has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Triumph Group has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial commitments | |
| Triumph Group has about 227.4 M in cash with (52.25 M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 1.61. | |
| Triumph Group has a poor financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Over 95.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from investing.com: JPMorgan upgrades Triumph Group stock, sees strategic improvements |
- Analyzing Triumph's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Triumph's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining Triumph's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating Triumph's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Triumph's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Triumph's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Triumph's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
Check out World Market Map to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Triumph Group. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. Note that the Triumph Group information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Triumph's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Fundamental Analysis module to view fundamental data based on most recent published financial statements.
Complementary Tools for Triumph Stock analysis
When running Triumph's price analysis, check to measure Triumph's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Triumph is operating at the current time. Most of Triumph's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Triumph's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Triumph's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Triumph to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Triumph's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Triumph. If investors know Triumph will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Triumph listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.31) | Earnings Share (0.72) | Revenue Per Share 19.77 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.089 | Return On Assets 0.0552 |
The market value of Triumph Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Triumph that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Triumph's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Triumph's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Triumph's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Triumph's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Triumph's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Triumph is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Triumph's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.