Murphy USA Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| MUSA Stock | USD 441.01 2.93 0.66% |
Murphy Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Murphy USA stock prices and determine the direction of Murphy USA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Murphy USA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Murphy USA's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Murphy USA's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Murphy USA fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Murphy USA to cross-verify your projections. Murphy |
Open Interest Against 2024-06-21 Murphy Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Murphy USA's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Murphy USA's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Murphy USA stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Murphy USA's open interest, investors have to compare it to Murphy USA's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Murphy USA is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Murphy. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Murphy USA cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Murphy USA's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Murphy USA's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Murphy USA is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Murphy USA to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Murphy USA trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 7403.81 | 33779.59 |
| Check Murphy USA Volatility | Backtest Murphy USA | Trend Details |
Murphy USA Trading Date Momentum
| On May 03 2024 Murphy USA was traded for 392.05 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 398.34 and the lowest listed price was 390.20 . The trading volume for the day was 454.7 K. The trading history from May 3, 2024 was a factor to the next trading day price decrease. The trading delta at closing time against the next closing price was 0.99% . The trading delta at closing time against the current closing price is 1.87% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Murphy USA to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Murphy USA
For every potential investor in Murphy, whether a beginner or expert, Murphy USA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Murphy Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Murphy. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Murphy USA's price trends.Murphy USA Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Murphy USA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Murphy USA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Murphy USA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Murphy USA Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Murphy USA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Murphy USA's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Murphy USA Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Murphy USA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Murphy USA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Murphy USA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Murphy USA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.0218 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.30) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 440.46 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 440.64 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 9.71 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.91) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (2.93) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 58.73 |
Murphy USA Risk Indicators
The analysis of Murphy USA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Murphy USA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting murphy stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.08 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.48 | |||
| Variance | 2.2 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.74 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.11 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.04) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Murphy USA offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Murphy USA's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Murphy Usa Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Murphy Usa Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Murphy USA to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Murphy Stock refer to our How to Trade Murphy Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Volatility module to check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk.
Complementary Tools for Murphy Stock analysis
When running Murphy USA's price analysis, check to measure Murphy USA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Murphy USA is operating at the current time. Most of Murphy USA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Murphy USA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Murphy USA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Murphy USA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Murphy USA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Murphy USA. If investors know Murphy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Murphy USA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.35) | Dividend Share 1.6 | Earnings Share 23.81 | Revenue Per Share 893.186 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.06) |
The market value of Murphy USA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Murphy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Murphy USA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Murphy USA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Murphy USA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Murphy USA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Murphy USA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Murphy USA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Murphy USA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.