Ammo Inc Stock Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation
| POWW Stock | USD 2.59 0.10 3.72% |
Given the investment horizon of 90 days and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding Ammo Inc is 'Strong Hold'. Macroaxis provides Ammo buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding Ammo positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of Ammo's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting Ammo's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value 2.6 | Target Price 2.5 | Hype Value 2.59 | Market Value 2.59 | Naive Value 2.73 |
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell Ammo Inc given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards Ammo. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for Ammo Inc, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
Ammo |
Execute Ammo Buy or Sell Advice
The Ammo recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on Ammo Inc. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in Ammo Inc or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute Ammo's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.
Time Horizon
Risk Tolerance
 |  |
Strong Hold
Market Performance | Modest | Details | |
Volatility | Relatively risky | Details | |
Hype Condition | Stale | Details | |
Current Valuation | Fairly Valued | Details | |
Odds Of Distress | Low | Details | |
Economic Sensitivity | Actively responds to the market | Details | |
Investor Sentiment | Alarmed | Details | |
Analyst Consensus | Buy | Details | |
Reporting Quality (M-Score) | Unavailable | Details |
Ammo Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions
| The company reported the previous year's revenue of 191.44 M. Net Loss for the year was (4.6 M) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 55.41 M. | |
| About 25.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders | |
| Latest headline from globenewswire.com: AMMO, Inc. to Conduct Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2024 Earnings Call on June 13, 2024, at 500PM ET |
Ammo Returns Distribution Density
The distribution of Ammo's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of Ammo's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of Ammo daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use Ammo Inc price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of Ammo returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for Ammo.
| Mean Return | 0.13 | Value At Risk | -3.7 | Potential Upside | 5.04 | Standard Deviation | 2.46 |
Return Density |
| Distribution |
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of Ammo historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.
Ammo Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Ammo is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ammo Inc backward and forwards among themselves. Ammo's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Ammo's securities or originates loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
| Shares | Anthracite Investment Co Inc | 2023-12-31 | 515.5 K | Orca Investment Management, Llc | 2024-03-31 | 478.5 K | Royal Capital Wealth Management, Llc | 2024-03-31 | 468.2 K | 360 Financial, Inc. | 2024-03-31 | 444 K | Parsons Capital Management Inc | 2024-03-31 | 356.8 K | Amvescap Plc. | 2024-03-31 | 343.1 K | Interocean Capital Group | 2024-03-31 | 330.8 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2024-03-31 | 323.6 K | Renaissance Technologies Corp | 2023-12-31 | 292.7 K | Blackrock Inc | 2024-03-31 | 6.1 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2024-03-31 | 4.9 M |
Ammo Cash Flow Accounts
| 2019 | 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | ||
| Change In Cash | (1.3M) | 117.5M | (95.1M) | 16.4M | 18.8M | 19.7M | |
| Free Cash Flow | (5.8M) | (21.9M) | (16.4M) | 23.0M | 20.7M | 21.7M | |
| Depreciation | 4.5M | 4.9M | 17.3M | 17.5M | 20.1M | 21.2M | |
| Other Non Cash Items | 1.2M | 4.0M | 4.1M | 1.2M | 1.4M | 720.8K | |
| Capital Expenditures | 462.4K | 7.4M | 19.2M | 12.5M | 14.4M | 15.1M | |
| Net Income | (14.6M) | (7.8M) | 33.2M | (4.6M) | (4.1M) | (3.9M) | |
| End Period Cash Flow | 884.3K | 118.3M | 23.3M | 39.6M | 45.6M | 47.9M | |
| Change To Inventory | 364.5K | (11.5M) | (43.1M) | 4.7M | 4.2M | 4.4M | |
| Change To Netincome | 1.9M | 1.8M | 4.3M | 921.5K | 1.1M | 2.0M | |
| Net Borrowings | 2.6M | 675.6K | (54.6M) | (684.9K) | (616.4K) | (647.3K) | |
| Investments | (462.4K) | (7.4M) | (69.7M) | (12.5M) | (11.3M) | (11.9M) |
Ammo Greeks
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Ammo or Leisure Products sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Ammo's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Ammo stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.11 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 1.74 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.48 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Ammo Volatility Alert
Ammo Inc currently demonstrates below-average downside deviation. It has Information Ratio of 0.05 and Jensen Alpha of 0.11. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Ammo's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Ammo's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.Ammo Fundamentals Vs Peers
Comparing Ammo's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze Ammo's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between Ammo and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as Ammo or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of Ammo's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ammo by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
| Better Than Average | Worse Than Average | Compare Ammo to competition |
| Fundamentals | Ammo | Peer Average |
| Return On Equity | -0.0358 | -0.31 |
| Return On Asset | -0.0224 | -0.14 |
| Profit Margin | (0.09) % | (1.27) % |
| Operating Margin | (0.06) % | (5.51) % |
| Current Valuation | 277.96 M | 16.62 B |
| Shares Outstanding | 118.66 M | 571.82 M |
| Shares Owned By Insiders | 25.10 % | 10.09 % |
| Shares Owned By Institutions | 28.45 % | 39.21 % |
| Number Of Shares Shorted | 2.64 M | 4.71 M |
| Price To Earning | 29.86 X | 28.72 X |
| Price To Book | 0.81 X | 9.51 X |
| Price To Sales | 2.06 X | 11.42 X |
| Revenue | 191.44 M | 9.43 B |
| Gross Profit | 55.41 M | 27.38 B |
| EBITDA | 14.29 M | 3.9 B |
| Net Income | (4.6 M) | 570.98 M |
| Cash And Equivalents | 29 M | 2.7 B |
| Cash Per Share | 0.25 X | 5.01 X |
| Total Debt | 14.86 M | 5.32 B |
| Debt To Equity | 0.04 % | 48.70 % |
| Current Ratio | 4.16 X | 2.16 X |
| Book Value Per Share | 3.05 X | 1.93 K |
| Cash Flow From Operations | 35.56 M | 971.22 M |
| Short Ratio | 7.18 X | 4.00 X |
| Earnings Per Share | (0.15) X | 3.12 X |
| Target Price | 2.92 | |
| Number Of Employees | 342 | 18.84 K |
| Beta | 0.41 | -0.15 |
| Market Capitalization | 311.22 M | 19.03 B |
| Total Asset | 412.34 M | 29.47 B |
| Retained Earnings | (18.94 M) | 9.33 B |
| Working Capital | 102.99 M | 1.48 B |
| Net Asset | 412.34 M |
Note: Acquisition by Fred Wagenhals of 3000 shares of Ammo at 24.47 subject to Rule 16b-3 [view details]
Ammo Market Momentum
Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as Ammo . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.
| Accumulation Distribution | 14355.96 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.77) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.96 | |||
| Day Median Price | 2.63 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 2.61 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.09) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.10) |
About Ammo Buy or Sell Advice
When is the right time to buy or sell Ammo Inc? Buying financial instruments such as Ammo Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Total Current Liabilities | 35.8M | 25.5M | 29.3M | 30.7M | Short and Long Term Debt Total | 5.1M | 14.9M | 17.1M | 17.9M |
Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios
In addition to having Ammo in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.Did You Try This Idea?
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Disruptive Technologies
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You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Disruptive Technologies Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Additional Tools for Ammo Stock Analysis
When running Ammo's price analysis, check to measure Ammo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Ammo is operating at the current time. Most of Ammo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Ammo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Ammo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Ammo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.