Tevogen Bio Holdings Stock Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 0.0399
| TVGNW Stock | 0.04 0.0001 0.25% |
Tevogen |
Tevogen Bio Target Price Odds to finish over 0.0399
The tendency of Tevogen Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 0.04 | 90 days | 0.04 | more than 93.0 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Tevogen Bio to move above the current price in 90 days from now is more than 93.0 (This Tevogen Bio Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Tevogen Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days horizon Tevogen Bio has a beta of 0.16. This usually implies as returns on the market go up, Tevogen Bio average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Tevogen Bio Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Tevogen Bio Holdings has an alpha of 0.8421, implying that it can generate a 0.84 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Tevogen Bio Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Tevogen Bio
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tevogen Bio Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tevogen Bio's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tevogen Bio Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Tevogen Bio is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Tevogen Bio's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Tevogen Bio Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Tevogen Bio within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.84 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.16 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.02 | |
Ir | Information ratio | 0.05 |
Tevogen Bio Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Tevogen Bio for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Tevogen Bio Holdings can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Tevogen Bio Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tevogen Bio Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tevogen Bio Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Tevogen Bio Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Tevogen Bio Holdings was previously known as Semper Paratus Acquisition and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol LGSTW. | |
| Tevogen Bio Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Tevogen Bio Appoints Former Police Chief FBI National Academy Graduate, William Keane, as Vice President of Strategic Initiatives |
Tevogen Bio Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Tevogen Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Tevogen Bio's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tevogen Bio's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 158.1 M |
Tevogen Bio Technical Analysis
Tevogen Bio's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Tevogen Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Tevogen Bio Holdings. In general, you should focus on analyzing Tevogen Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Tevogen Bio Predictive Forecast Models
Tevogen Bio's time-series forecasting models is one of many Tevogen Bio's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Tevogen Bio's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Tevogen Bio Holdings
Checking the ongoing alerts about Tevogen Bio for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Tevogen Bio Holdings help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Tevogen Bio Holdings generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Tevogen Bio Holdings has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| Tevogen Bio Holdings has some characteristics of a very speculative penny stock | |
| Tevogen Bio Holdings has high likelihood to experience some financial distress in the next 2 years | |
| Tevogen Bio Holdings was previously known as Semper Paratus Acquisition and was traded on NASDAQ Exchange under the symbol LGSTW. | |
| Tevogen Bio Holdings has a frail financial position based on the latest SEC disclosures | |
| Latest headline from benzinga.com: Tevogen Bio Appoints Former Police Chief FBI National Academy Graduate, William Keane, as Vice President of Strategic Initiatives |
Check out Tevogen Bio Backtesting, Tevogen Bio Valuation, Tevogen Bio Correlation, Tevogen Bio Hype Analysis, Tevogen Bio Volatility, Tevogen Bio History as well as Tevogen Bio Performance. You can also try the Odds Of Bankruptcy module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
Complementary Tools for Tevogen Stock analysis
When running Tevogen Bio's price analysis, check to measure Tevogen Bio's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tevogen Bio is operating at the current time. Most of Tevogen Bio's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tevogen Bio's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tevogen Bio's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tevogen Bio to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Tevogen Bio's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Tevogen Bio. If investors know Tevogen will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Tevogen Bio listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Tevogen Bio Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Tevogen that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Tevogen Bio's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Tevogen Bio's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Tevogen Bio's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Tevogen Bio's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Tevogen Bio's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tevogen Bio is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tevogen Bio's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.