Entra ASA (Norway) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Under 106.5

ENTRA Stock  NOK 113.20  2.00  1.80%   
Entra ASA's future price is the expected price of Entra ASA instrument. It is based on its current growth rate as well as the projected cash flow expected by the investors. This tool provides a mechanism to make assumptions about the upside potential and downside risk of Entra ASA performance during a given time horizon utilizing its historical volatility. Check out Entra ASA Backtesting, Entra ASA Valuation, Entra ASA Correlation, Entra ASA Hype Analysis, Entra ASA Volatility, Entra ASA History as well as Entra ASA Performance.
  
Please specify Entra ASA's target price for which you would like Entra ASA odds to be computed.

Entra ASA Target Price Odds to finish below 106.5

The tendency of Entra Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to drop to  106.50  or more in 90 days
 113.20 90 days 106.50 
about 23.33
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Entra ASA to drop to  106.50  or more in 90 days from now is about 23.33 (This Entra ASA probability density function shows the probability of Entra Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Entra ASA price to stay between  106.50  and its current price of 113.2 at the end of the 90-day period is about 62.54 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Entra ASA has a beta of 0.72 suggesting as returns on the market go up, Entra ASA average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Entra ASA will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Entra ASA has an alpha of 0.4297, implying that it can generate a 0.43 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta).
   Entra ASA Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Entra ASA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Entra ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Entra ASA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
111.02113.20115.38
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
99.32101.50124.52
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
112.09114.27116.45
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
100.16107.70115.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Entra ASA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Entra ASA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Entra ASA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Entra ASA.

Entra ASA Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Entra ASA is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Entra ASA's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Entra ASA, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Entra ASA within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.43
β
Beta against NYSE Composite0.72
σ
Overall volatility
3.71
Ir
Information ratio 0.28

Entra ASA Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Entra ASA for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Entra ASA can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Entra ASA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Entra ASA has accumulated 22.79 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 83.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Entra ASA has a current ratio of 0.38, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Entra ASA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Entra ASA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Entra ASA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Entra to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Entra ASA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 61.0% of Entra ASA shares are held by company insiders

Entra ASA Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Entra Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Entra ASA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Entra ASA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding182.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments277 M

Entra ASA Technical Analysis

Entra ASA's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Entra Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Entra ASA. In general, you should focus on analyzing Entra Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.

Entra ASA Predictive Forecast Models

Entra ASA's time-series forecasting models is one of many Entra ASA's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Entra ASA's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

Things to note about Entra ASA

Checking the ongoing alerts about Entra ASA for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Entra ASA help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Entra ASA has high financial leverage indicating that it may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations
Entra ASA has accumulated 22.79 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 83.5, indicating the company may have difficulties to generate enough cash to satisfy its financial obligations. Entra ASA has a current ratio of 0.38, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Entra ASA until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Entra ASA's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Entra ASA sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Entra to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Entra ASA's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
About 61.0% of Entra ASA shares are held by company insiders

Other Information on Investing in Entra Stock

Entra ASA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Entra Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Entra with respect to the benefits of owning Entra ASA security.