Entra ASA Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

ENTRA Stock  NOK 112.00  2.00  1.82%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Entra ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 107.15 with a mean absolute deviation of  2.63  and the sum of the absolute errors of 160.40. Entra Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Entra ASA stock prices and determine the direction of Entra ASA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Entra ASA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Entra ASA to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Entra ASA cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Entra ASA's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Entra ASA's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Entra ASA price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Entra ASA Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 22nd of May

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Entra ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 107.15 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.63, mean absolute percentage error of 10.50, and the sum of the absolute errors of 160.40.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Entra Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Entra ASA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Entra ASA Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Entra ASAEntra ASA Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Entra ASA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Entra ASA's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Entra ASA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 105.57 and 108.74, respectively. We have considered Entra ASA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
112.00
105.57
Downside
107.15
Expected Value
108.74
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Entra ASA stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Entra ASA stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.4619
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.6295
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0245
SAESum of the absolute errors160.4003
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Entra ASA historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Entra ASA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Entra ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Entra ASA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
110.42112.00113.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.1791.75123.20
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
100.10107.81115.51
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Entra ASA. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Entra ASA's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Entra ASA's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Entra ASA.

Other Forecasting Options for Entra ASA

For every potential investor in Entra, whether a beginner or expert, Entra ASA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Entra Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Entra. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Entra ASA's price trends.

Entra ASA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Entra ASA stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Entra ASA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Entra ASA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Entra ASA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Entra ASA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Entra ASA's current price.

Entra ASA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Entra ASA stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Entra ASA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Entra ASA stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Entra ASA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Entra ASA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Entra ASA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Entra ASA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting entra stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Becoming a Better Investor with Macroaxis

Macroaxis puts the power of mathematics on your side. We analyze your portfolios and positions such as Entra ASA using complex mathematical models and algorithms, but make them easy to understand. There is no real person involved in your portfolio analysis. We perform a number of calculations to compute absolute and relative portfolio volatility, correlation between your assets, value at risk, expected return as well as over 100 different fundamental and technical indicators.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Entra ASA to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Entra ASA information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Entra ASA's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.

Complementary Tools for Entra Stock analysis

When running Entra ASA's price analysis, check to measure Entra ASA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Entra ASA is operating at the current time. Most of Entra ASA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Entra ASA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Entra ASA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Entra ASA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Entra ASA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Entra ASA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Entra ASA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.