Arena Bilgisayar (Turkey) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 55.0
| ARENA Stock | TRY 40.72 0.28 0.69% |
Arena |
Arena Bilgisayar Target Price Odds to finish over 55.0
The tendency of Arena Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move over 55.00 or more in 90 days |
| 40.72 | 90 days | 55.00 | nearly 4.76 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Arena Bilgisayar to move over 55.00 or more in 90 days from now is nearly 4.76 (This Arena Bilgisayar Sanayi probability density function shows the probability of Arena Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) . Probability of Arena Bilgisayar Sanayi price to stay between its current price of 40.72 and 55.00 at the end of the 90-day period is about 82.34 .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Arena Bilgisayar Sanayi has a beta of -1.22. This suggests as returns on its benchmark rise, returns on holding Arena Bilgisayar Sanayi are expected to decrease by similarly larger amounts. On the other hand, during market turmoils, Arena Bilgisayar is expected to outperform its benchmark. Additionally Arena Bilgisayar Sanayi has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Arena Bilgisayar Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Arena Bilgisayar
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Arena Bilgisayar Sanayi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Arena Bilgisayar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Arena Bilgisayar Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Arena Bilgisayar is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Arena Bilgisayar's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Arena Bilgisayar Sanayi, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Arena Bilgisayar within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.28 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | -1.22 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 5.10 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1 |
Arena Bilgisayar Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Arena Bilgisayar for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Arena Bilgisayar Sanayi can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Arena Bilgisayar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arena Bilgisayar has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Arena Bilgisayar Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Arena Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Arena Bilgisayar's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Arena Bilgisayar's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 100 M |
Arena Bilgisayar Technical Analysis
Arena Bilgisayar's future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Arena Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Arena Bilgisayar Sanayi. In general, you should focus on analyzing Arena Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Arena Bilgisayar Predictive Forecast Models
Arena Bilgisayar's time-series forecasting models is one of many Arena Bilgisayar's stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Arena Bilgisayar's historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Arena Bilgisayar Sanayi
Checking the ongoing alerts about Arena Bilgisayar for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Arena Bilgisayar Sanayi help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Arena Bilgisayar generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Arena Bilgisayar has high historical volatility and very poor performance | |
| About 49.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders |
Check out Arena Bilgisayar Backtesting, Arena Bilgisayar Valuation, Arena Bilgisayar Correlation, Arena Bilgisayar Hype Analysis, Arena Bilgisayar Volatility, Arena Bilgisayar History as well as Arena Bilgisayar Performance. Note that the Arena Bilgisayar Sanayi information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Arena Bilgisayar's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Complementary Tools for Arena Stock analysis
When running Arena Bilgisayar's price analysis, check to measure Arena Bilgisayar's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Arena Bilgisayar is operating at the current time. Most of Arena Bilgisayar's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Arena Bilgisayar's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Arena Bilgisayar's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Arena Bilgisayar to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
| Portfolio Backtesting Avoid under-diversification and over-optimization by backtesting your portfolios | |
| Alpha Finder Use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk | |
| Global Markets Map Get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes | |
| Portfolio Suggestion Get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios | |
| Performance Analysis Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation | |
| Technical Analysis Check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data | |
| Crypto Correlations Use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins | |
| Equity Analysis Research over 250,000 global equities including funds, stocks and ETFs to find investment opportunities | |
| My Watchlist Analysis Analyze my current watchlist and to refresh optimization strategy. Macroaxis watchlist is based on self-learning algorithm to remember stocks you like | |
| Pair Correlation Compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments | |
| FinTech Suite Use AI to screen and filter profitable investment opportunities |