UMB Financial Stock Forecast - Market Risk Adjusted Performance
| UMBF Stock | USD 83.93 0.16 0.19% |
UMB Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast UMB Financial stock prices and determine the direction of UMB Financial's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of UMB Financial's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although UMB Financial's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of UMB Financial's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of UMB Financial fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of UMB Financial to cross-verify your projections. UMB |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 UMB Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast UMB Financial's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in UMB Financial's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for UMB Financial stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current UMB Financial's open interest, investors have to compare it to UMB Financial's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of UMB Financial is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in UMB. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in UMB Financial cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the UMB Financial's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets UMB Financial's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
| Check UMB Financial Volatility | Backtest UMB Financial | Information Ratio |
UMB Financial Trading Date Momentum
| On May 14 2024 UMB Financial was traded for 83.93 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 85.10 and the lowest listed price was 83.03 . The trading volume for the day was 587.4 K. The trading history from May 14, 2024 did not result in any price rise and fall. The trading price change against the current closing price is 0.63% . |
| Compare UMB Financial to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for UMB Financial
For every potential investor in UMB, whether a beginner or expert, UMB Financial's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. UMB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in UMB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying UMB Financial's price trends.UMB Financial Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with UMB Financial stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of UMB Financial could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing UMB Financial by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
UMB Financial Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of UMB Financial's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of UMB Financial's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
UMB Financial Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how UMB Financial stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading UMB Financial shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying UMB Financial stock market strength indicators, traders can identify UMB Financial entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 14286.96 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.0773 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 84.07 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 84.02 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.06) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.16 |
UMB Financial Risk Indicators
The analysis of UMB Financial's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in UMB Financial's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting umb stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.04 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Variance | 3.57 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.55 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.16 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.34) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
UMB Financial Investors Sentiment
The influence of UMB Financial's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in UMB. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to UMB Financial's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in UMB. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding UMB can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around UMB Financial. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
UMB Financial's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for UMB Financial's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average UMB Financial's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on UMB Financial.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards UMB Financial in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, UMB Financial's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from UMB Financial options trading.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether UMB Financial is a strong investment it is important to analyze UMB Financial's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact UMB Financial's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding UMB Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of UMB Financial to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in UMB Stock please use our How to Invest in UMB Financial guide.Note that the UMB Financial information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other UMB Financial's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Complementary Tools for UMB Stock analysis
When running UMB Financial's price analysis, check to measure UMB Financial's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy UMB Financial is operating at the current time. Most of UMB Financial's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of UMB Financial's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move UMB Financial's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of UMB Financial to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is UMB Financial's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of UMB Financial. If investors know UMB will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about UMB Financial listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.184 | Dividend Share 1.54 | Earnings Share 7.53 | Revenue Per Share 30.081 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.115 |
The market value of UMB Financial is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of UMB that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of UMB Financial's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is UMB Financial's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because UMB Financial's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect UMB Financial's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between UMB Financial's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if UMB Financial is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, UMB Financial's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.