Service International Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| SCI Stock | USD 71.66 0.77 1.09% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Service International on the next trading day is expected to be 71.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78 and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.99. Service Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Service International stock prices and determine the direction of Service International's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Service International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Service International's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Service International's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Service International fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Service International to cross-verify your projections. Service |
Open Interest Against 2024-06-21 Service Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Service International's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Service International's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Service International stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Service International's open interest, investors have to compare it to Service International's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Service International is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Service. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Service International cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Service International's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Service International's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Service International works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality. Service International Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of June
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Service International on the next trading day is expected to be 71.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.78, mean absolute percentage error of 0.96, and the sum of the absolute errors of 45.99.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Service Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Service International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Service International Stock Forecast Pattern
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Service International Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Service International's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Service International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 70.50 and 73.06, respectively. We have considered Service International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Service International stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Service International stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.106 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.7796 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.011 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 45.9935 |
Predictive Modules for Service International
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Service International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Service International's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Service International
For every potential investor in Service, whether a beginner or expert, Service International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Service Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Service. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Service International's price trends.Service International Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Service International stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Service International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Service International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Service International Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Service International's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Service International's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Service International Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Service International stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Service International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Service International stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Service International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Service International Risk Indicators
The analysis of Service International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Service International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting service stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.01 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Variance | 1.64 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Service International offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Service International's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Service International Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Service International Stock:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Service International to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Service Stock please use our How to Invest in Service International guide.Note that the Service International information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Service International's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Complementary Tools for Service Stock analysis
When running Service International's price analysis, check to measure Service International's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Service International is operating at the current time. Most of Service International's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Service International's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Service International's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Service International to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Service International's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Service International. If investors know Service will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Service International listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.04) | Dividend Share 1.15 | Earnings Share 3.49 | Revenue Per Share 27.655 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.016 |
The market value of Service International is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Service that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Service International's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Service International's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Service International's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Service International's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Service International's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Service International is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Service International's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.