Pudjiadi Sons Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

PNSE Stock  IDR 450.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Pudjiadi Sons Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 450.00 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.00  and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Pudjiadi Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Pudjiadi Sons stock prices and determine the direction of Pudjiadi Sons Tbk's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Pudjiadi Sons' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pudjiadi Sons to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Pudjiadi Sons cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Pudjiadi Sons' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Pudjiadi Sons' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Pudjiadi Sons polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Pudjiadi Sons Tbk as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Pudjiadi Sons Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 2nd of June

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Pudjiadi Sons Tbk on the next trading day is expected to be 450.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Pudjiadi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Pudjiadi Sons' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Pudjiadi Sons Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Pudjiadi SonsPudjiadi Sons Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Pudjiadi Sons Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Pudjiadi Sons' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Pudjiadi Sons' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 450.00 and 450.00, respectively. We have considered Pudjiadi Sons' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
450.00
450.00
Downside
450.00
Expected Value
450.00
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Pudjiadi Sons stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Pudjiadi Sons stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Pudjiadi Sons historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Pudjiadi Sons

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pudjiadi Sons Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pudjiadi Sons' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
450.00450.00450.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
450.00450.00450.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
450.00450.00450.00
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Pudjiadi Sons. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Pudjiadi Sons' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Pudjiadi Sons' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Pudjiadi Sons Tbk.

Other Forecasting Options for Pudjiadi Sons

For every potential investor in Pudjiadi, whether a beginner or expert, Pudjiadi Sons' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Pudjiadi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Pudjiadi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Pudjiadi Sons' price trends.

Pudjiadi Sons Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Pudjiadi Sons stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Pudjiadi Sons could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Pudjiadi Sons by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Pudjiadi Sons Tbk Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Pudjiadi Sons' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Pudjiadi Sons' current price.

Pudjiadi Sons Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Pudjiadi Sons stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Pudjiadi Sons shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Pudjiadi Sons stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Pudjiadi Sons Tbk entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Pudjiadi Sons to cross-verify your projections.
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When running Pudjiadi Sons' price analysis, check to measure Pudjiadi Sons' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pudjiadi Sons is operating at the current time. Most of Pudjiadi Sons' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pudjiadi Sons' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pudjiadi Sons' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pudjiadi Sons to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Pudjiadi Sons' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Pudjiadi Sons is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Pudjiadi Sons' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.