Pudjiadi Sons (Indonesia) Probability of Future Stock Price Finishing Over 450.0
| PNSE Stock | IDR 450.00 0.00 0.00% |
Pudjiadi |
Pudjiadi Sons Target Price Odds to finish over 450.0
The tendency of Pudjiadi Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 450.00 | 90 days | 450.00 | about 45.15 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Pudjiadi Sons to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 45.15 (This Pudjiadi Sons Tbk probability density function shows the probability of Pudjiadi Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Pudjiadi Sons has a beta of 0.21 indicating as returns on the market go up, Pudjiadi Sons average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Pudjiadi Sons Tbk will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Pudjiadi Sons Tbk has an alpha of 0.0413, implying that it can generate a 0.0413 percent excess return over NYSE Composite after adjusting for the inherited market risk (beta). Pudjiadi Sons Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for Pudjiadi Sons
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Pudjiadi Sons Tbk. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Pudjiadi Sons' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Pudjiadi Sons Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Pudjiadi Sons is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Pudjiadi Sons' value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Pudjiadi Sons Tbk, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Pudjiadi Sons within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | 0.04 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.21 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 2.46 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.05 |
Pudjiadi Sons Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Pudjiadi Sons for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Pudjiadi Sons Tbk can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| Pudjiadi Sons Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 68.29 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.48, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Pudjiadi Sons Tbk has a current ratio of 0.53, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Pudjiadi Sons until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pudjiadi Sons' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pudjiadi Sons Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Pudjiadi to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pudjiadi Sons' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 69.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (29.7 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 28.37 B. | |
| Pudjiadi Sons Tbk has accumulated about 9.92 B in cash with (11.36 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.43. | |
| Roughly 92.0% of Pudjiadi Sons outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Pudjiadi Sons Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Pudjiadi Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Pudjiadi Sons' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Pudjiadi Sons' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 797.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 17 B |
Pudjiadi Sons Technical Analysis
Pudjiadi Sons' future price can be derived by breaking down and analyzing its technical indicators over time. Pudjiadi Stock technical analysis helps investors analyze different prices and returns patterns as well as diagnose historical swings to determine the real value of Pudjiadi Sons Tbk. In general, you should focus on analyzing Pudjiadi Stock price patterns and their correlations with different microeconomic environments and drivers.
Pudjiadi Sons Predictive Forecast Models
Pudjiadi Sons' time-series forecasting models is one of many Pudjiadi Sons' stock analysis techniques aimed to predict future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models are widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties, e.g., the mean and standard deviation, are not constant over time, but instead, these metrics vary over time. This non-stationary Pudjiadi Sons' historical data is usually called time series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the stock market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.
Things to note about Pudjiadi Sons Tbk
Checking the ongoing alerts about Pudjiadi Sons for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Our stock alerts and notifications screener for Pudjiadi Sons Tbk help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
| Pudjiadi Sons Tbk generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| The company has accumulated 68.29 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 0.48, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Pudjiadi Sons Tbk has a current ratio of 0.53, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Pudjiadi Sons until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Pudjiadi Sons' shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Pudjiadi Sons Tbk sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Pudjiadi to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Pudjiadi Sons' use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
| The entity reported the revenue of 69.06 B. Net Loss for the year was (29.7 B) with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 28.37 B. | |
| Pudjiadi Sons Tbk has accumulated about 9.92 B in cash with (11.36 B) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 12.43. | |
| Roughly 92.0% of Pudjiadi Sons outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders |
Check out Pudjiadi Sons Backtesting, Pudjiadi Sons Valuation, Pudjiadi Sons Correlation, Pudjiadi Sons Hype Analysis, Pudjiadi Sons Volatility, Pudjiadi Sons History as well as Pudjiadi Sons Performance. You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Complementary Tools for Pudjiadi Stock analysis
When running Pudjiadi Sons' price analysis, check to measure Pudjiadi Sons' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Pudjiadi Sons is operating at the current time. Most of Pudjiadi Sons' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Pudjiadi Sons' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Pudjiadi Sons' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Pudjiadi Sons to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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