Life Time Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average

LTH Stock  USD 16.00  0.50  3.03%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Life Time Group on the next trading day is expected to be 16.25 with a mean absolute deviation of  0.33  and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.29. Life Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Life Time stock prices and determine the direction of Life Time Group's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Life Time's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Life Time's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Life Time's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Life Time fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Life Time to cross-verify your projections.
  
As of now, Life Time's Payables Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The Life Time's current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 60.02, while Inventory Turnover is projected to decrease to 18.28. . The Life Time's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 213.6 M, while Net Loss is projected to decrease to (1.7 M).

Open Interest Against 2024-06-21 Life Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Life Time's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Life Time's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Life Time stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Life Time's open interest, investors have to compare it to Life Time's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Life Time is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Life. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Life Time cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Life Time's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Life Time's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A two period moving average forecast for Life Time is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Life Time Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 24th of May

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Life Time Group on the next trading day is expected to be 16.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.33, mean absolute percentage error of 0.17, and the sum of the absolute errors of 19.29.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Life Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Life Time's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Life Time Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Life TimeLife Time Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Life Time Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Life Time's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Life Time's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.36 and 19.14, respectively. We have considered Life Time's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.00
16.25
Expected Value
19.14
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Life Time stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Life Time stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.6373
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0619
MADMean absolute deviation0.3269
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0223
SAESum of the absolute errors19.285
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Life Time Group price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Life Time. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Life Time

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Life Time Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Life Time's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.4516.3419.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
14.3920.1323.02
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
13.1314.6216.10
Details
11 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.7522.8025.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Life Time. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Life Time's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Life Time's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Life Time Group.

Other Forecasting Options for Life Time

For every potential investor in Life, whether a beginner or expert, Life Time's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Life Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Life. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Life Time's price trends.

Life Time Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Life Time stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Life Time could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Life Time by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Life Time Group Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Life Time's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Life Time's current price.

Life Time Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Life Time stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Life Time shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Life Time stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Life Time Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Life Time Risk Indicators

The analysis of Life Time's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Life Time's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting life stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Life Time Group offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Life Time's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Life Time Group Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Life Time Group Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Life Time to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.

Complementary Tools for Life Stock analysis

When running Life Time's price analysis, check to measure Life Time's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Life Time is operating at the current time. Most of Life Time's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Life Time's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Life Time's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Life Time to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Life Time's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Life Time. If investors know Life will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Life Time listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.14)
Earnings Share
0.35
Revenue Per Share
11.723
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.168
Return On Assets
0.0239
The market value of Life Time Group is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Life that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Life Time's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Life Time's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Life Time's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Life Time's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Life Time's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Life Time is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Life Time's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.