AIB Group Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| A5G Stock | EUR 4.94 0.01 0.20% |
AIB Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast AIB Group stock prices and determine the direction of AIB Group PLC's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of AIB Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AIB Group to cross-verify your projections. AIB |
Most investors in AIB Group cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the AIB Group's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets AIB Group's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which AIB Group is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of AIB Group PLC to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by AIB Group trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 270134.0 | 0.0257 |
| Check AIB Group Volatility | Backtest AIB Group | Information Ratio |
AIB Group Trading Date Momentum
| On May 04 2024 AIB Group PLC was traded for 4.94 at the closing time. The maximum traded price for the trading interval was 5.05 and the lowest daily price was 4.92 . There was no trading activity during the period 0.0. Lack of trading volume on 4th of May 2024 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta to the closing price today is 0.20% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare AIB Group to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for AIB Group
For every potential investor in AIB, whether a beginner or expert, AIB Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AIB Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AIB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AIB Group's price trends.AIB Group Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AIB Group stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AIB Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AIB Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AIB Group PLC Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of AIB Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of AIB Group's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AIB Group Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AIB Group stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AIB Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AIB Group stock market strength indicators, traders can identify AIB Group PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
AIB Group Risk Indicators
The analysis of AIB Group's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AIB Group's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aib stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.62 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.94 | |||
| Variance | 3.76 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.99 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.62 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.67) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards AIB Group in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, AIB Group's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from AIB Group options trading.
Pair Trading with AIB Group
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if AIB Group position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in AIB Group will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with AIB Stock
| 0.94 | BIRG | Bank of Ireland | PairCorr |
| 0.78 | HSW | Hostelworld Group PLC | PairCorr |
Moving against AIB Stock
| 0.9 | DHG | Dalata Hotel Group | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to AIB Group could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace AIB Group when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back AIB Group - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling AIB Group PLC to buy it.
The correlation of AIB Group is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as AIB Group moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if AIB Group PLC moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for AIB Group can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AIB Group to cross-verify your projections. Note that the AIB Group PLC information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AIB Group's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
Complementary Tools for AIB Stock analysis
When running AIB Group's price analysis, check to measure AIB Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AIB Group is operating at the current time. Most of AIB Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AIB Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AIB Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AIB Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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