AIB Group (Ireland) Buy Hold or Sell Recommendation

A5G Stock  EUR 5.00  0.07  1.38%   
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon and your above-average risk tolerance, our recommendation regarding AIB Group PLC is 'Strong Sell'. Macroaxis provides AIB Group buy-hold-or-sell recommendation only in the context of selected investment horizon and investor attitude towards risk assumed by holding A5G positions. The advice algorithm takes into account all of AIB Group's available fundamental, technical, and predictive indicators you will find on this site. Key drivers impacting AIB Group's buy or sell advice are summarized below:
Real Value
4.23
Hype Value
5
Market Value
5
Naive Value
4.91
A buy or sell recommendation provided by Macroaxis is an automated directive regarding whether to purchase or sell AIB Group PLC given historical horizon and risk tolerance towards AIB Group. When Macroaxis issues a 'buy' or 'sell' recommendation for AIB Group PLC, the advice is generated through an automated system that utilizes algorithms and statistical models.
  
Check out AIB Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
In addition, we conduct extensive research on individual companies such as AIB and provide practical buy, sell, or hold advice based on investors' investing horizon and their risk tolerance towards AIB Group PLC. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in board of governors.

Execute AIB Group Buy or Sell Advice

The AIB recommendation should be used to complement the buy-or-sell advice compiled from the current analysts' consensus on AIB Group PLC. Macroaxis does not own or have any residual interests in AIB Group PLC or other equities on which the buy-or-sell advice is provided. Please provide your input below to execute AIB Group's advice using the current market data and latest reported fundamentals.

Time Horizon

Risk Tolerance

Execute Advice
Sell AIB GroupBuy AIB Group
Strong Sell

Market Performance

GoodDetails

Volatility

Slightly riskyDetails

Hype Condition

StaleDetails

Current Valuation

OvervaluedDetails

Odds Of Distress

LowDetails

Economic Sensitivity

Almost neglects market trendsDetails

Analyst Consensus

Not AvailableDetails

Reporting Quality (M-Score)

InapplicableDetails
For the selected time horizon AIB Group PLC has a Mean Deviation of 1.48, Semi Deviation of 1.59, Standard Deviation of 1.91, Variance of 3.67, Downside Variance of 4.01 and Semi Variance of 2.53
We provide trade recommendation to complement the latest expert consensus on AIB Group PLC. Our dynamic recommendation engine uses a multidimensional algorithm to analyze the company's potential to grow using all technical and fundamental data available at this time. To make sure AIB Group PLC is not overpriced, please confirm all AIB Group PLC fundamentals, including its operating margin, shares outstanding, and the relationship between the profit margin and current valuation .

AIB Group Trading Alerts and Improvement Suggestions

About 56.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders

AIB Group Returns Distribution Density

The distribution of AIB Group's historical returns is an attempt to chart the uncertainty of AIB Group's future price movements. The chart of the probability distribution of AIB Group daily returns describes the distribution of returns around its average expected value. We use AIB Group PLC price's Value At Risk and its Upside Potential as a relative measure of the distribution. The graph of the distribution of AIB Group returns is essential to provide solid investment advice for AIB Group.
Mean Return
0.44
Value At Risk
-3.4
Potential Upside
3.56
Standard Deviation
1.91
   Return Density   
       Distribution  
Investment risk management requires an estimate of the probability of extreme price changes. Therefore, the correct representation of the distribution of AIB Group historical returns presented in an easy-to-digest graphical form helps investors and money managers understand the risk-reward trade-off of different investement strategies.

AIB Group Greeks

Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to AIB Group or Financial Services sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that AIB Group's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a AIB stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
0.45
β
Beta against NYSE Composite-0.26
σ
Overall volatility
1.97
Ir
Information ratio 0.18

AIB Group Volatility Alert

AIB Group PLC has relatively low volatility with skewness of -0.26 and kurtosis of 0.61. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure AIB Group's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact AIB Group's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.

AIB Group Fundamentals Vs Peers

Comparing AIB Group's fundamentals to the average values of its peers is one of the most widely used and accepted methods of equity analyses. It helps to analyze AIB Group's direct or indirect competition across all of the common fundamentals between AIB Group and the related equities. This way, we can detect undervalued stocks with similar characteristics as AIB Group or determine the stocks which would be an excellent addition to an existing portfolio. Peer analysis of AIB Group's fundamental indicators could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AIB Group by comparing valuation metrics with those of similar companies.
    
 Better Than Average     
    
 Worse Than Average Compare AIB Group to competition
FundamentalsAIB GroupPeer Average
Return On Equity0.0642-0.31
Return On Asset0.0066-0.14
Profit Margin0.29 %(1.27) %
Operating Margin0.50 %(5.51) %
Current Valuation(17.52 B)16.62 B
Shares Outstanding2.67 B571.82 M
Shares Owned By Insiders55.93 %10.09 %
Shares Owned By Institutions24.68 %39.21 %
Price To Book0.66 X9.51 X
Price To Sales2.89 X11.42 X
Revenue2.4 B9.43 B
Gross Profit2.61 B27.38 B
EBITDA1.25 B3.9 B
Net Income647 M570.98 M
Cash And Equivalents43.24 B2.7 B
Cash Per Share15.93 X5.01 X
Total Debt19.29 B5.32 B
Book Value Per Share4.83 X1.93 K
Cash Flow From Operations13.94 B971.22 M
Earnings Per Share0.29 X3.12 X
Target Price3.57
Number Of Employees9.03 K18.84 K
Beta1.83-0.15
Market Capitalization10.68 B19.03 B
Total Asset127.88 B29.47 B
Net Asset127.88 B
Last Dividend Paid0.045

AIB Group Market Momentum

Traders often use several daily momentume indicators to supplement a more traditional technical analysis when analyzing securities such as AIB . With many different options, investors must choose the best indicators for them and familiarize themselves with how they work. We suggest combining traditional momentum indicators with more near-term forms of technical analysis such as Accumulation Distribution or Daily Balance Of Power. With their quantitative nature, daily value technical indicators can also be incorporated into your automated trading systems.

About AIB Group Buy or Sell Advice

When is the right time to buy or sell AIB Group PLC? Buying financial instruments such as AIB Stock isn't very hard. However, what challenging for most investors is doing it at the right time to beat the market. Proper market timing is something most people cannot do without sophisticated tools, which help to isolate the right opportunities. Macroaxis provides hands-on modules to deliver winning trades and diversify your portfolios on a daily basis. Most of our advising modules are very easy to use and apply.
Please read more on our stock advisor page.

Use Investing Ideas to Build Portfolios

In addition to having AIB Group in your portfolios, you can quickly add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your investment opportunity, you can then find an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility.

Did You Try This Idea?

Run Defense Thematic Idea Now

Defense
Defense Theme
Fama and French investing themes focus on testing asset pricing under different economic assumptions. The Defense theme has 16 constituents at this time.
You can either use a buy-and-hold strategy to lock in the entire theme or actively trade it to take advantage of the short-term price volatility of individual constituents. Macroaxis can help you discover thousands of investment opportunities in different asset classes. In addition, you can partner with us for reliable portfolio optimization as you plan to utilize Defense Theme or any other thematic opportunities.
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Check out AIB Group Analyst Recommendation to compare Macroaxis Buy or Sell Recommendation with the current analyst consensus. To check ratings for multiple equity instruments, please use the Instant Ratings tool.
Note that the AIB Group PLC information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other AIB Group's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.

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When running AIB Group's price analysis, check to measure AIB Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AIB Group is operating at the current time. Most of AIB Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AIB Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AIB Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AIB Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between AIB Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AIB Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AIB Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.