EQT AB Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

6EQ Stock  EUR 27.63  0.32  1.17%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of EQT AB on the next trading day is expected to be 26.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54 and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.65. EQT Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of EQT AB's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Most investors in EQT AB cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the EQT AB's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets EQT AB's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
A naive forecasting model for EQT AB is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of EQT AB value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

EQT AB Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 13th of June 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of EQT AB on the next trading day is expected to be 26.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.54, mean absolute percentage error of 0.44, and the sum of the absolute errors of 32.65.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EQT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EQT AB's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

EQT AB Stock Forecast Pattern

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EQT AB Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting EQT AB's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EQT AB's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.40 and 29.41, respectively. We have considered EQT AB's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.63
26.91
Expected Value
29.41
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EQT AB stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EQT AB stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.282
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5352
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0202
SAESum of the absolute errors32.6498
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of EQT AB. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict EQT AB. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for EQT AB

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EQT AB. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of EQT AB's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
25.1227.6330.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
20.1622.6730.39
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
23.6427.3231.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for EQT AB

For every potential investor in EQT, whether a beginner or expert, EQT AB's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EQT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EQT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EQT AB's price trends.

EQT AB Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EQT AB stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EQT AB could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EQT AB by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

EQT AB Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of EQT AB's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of EQT AB's current price.

EQT AB Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EQT AB stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EQT AB shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EQT AB stock market strength indicators, traders can identify EQT AB entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

EQT AB Risk Indicators

The analysis of EQT AB's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EQT AB's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eqt stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in EQT Stock

EQT AB financial ratios help investors to determine whether EQT Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in EQT with respect to the benefits of owning EQT AB security.