HelloFresh Valuation

HLFFF Stock  USD 11.86  0.39  3.18%   
At this time, the firm appears to be overvalued. HelloFresh SE retains a regular Real Value of $9.13 per share. The prevalent price of the firm is $11.86. Our model calculates the value of HelloFresh SE from evaluating the firm fundamentals such as Current Valuation of 4.05 B, return on equity of 0.16, and Return On Asset of 0.0573 as well as inspecting its technical indicators and probability of bankruptcy.
Overvalued
Today
11.86
Please note that HelloFresh's price fluctuation is moderately volatile at this time. Calculation of the real value of HelloFresh SE is based on 3 months time horizon. Increasing HelloFresh's time horizon generally increases the accuracy of value calculation and significantly improves the predictive power of the methodology used.
The fair value of the HelloFresh pink sheet is determined by what a typical buyer is willing to pay for full or partial control of HelloFresh SE. Since HelloFresh is currently traded on the exchange, buyers and sellers on that exchange determine the market value of HelloFresh Pink Sheet. However, HelloFresh's intrinsic value may or may not be the same as its current market price, in which case there is an opportunity to profit from the mispricing, assuming the market price will eventually merge with its intrinsic value.
Historical Market  11.86 Real  9.13 Hype  11.86 Naive  11.24
The real value of HelloFresh Pink Sheet, also known as its intrinsic value, is the underlying worth of HelloFresh SE Company, which is reflected in its stock price. It is based on HelloFresh's financial performance, growth prospects, management team, or industry conditions. The intrinsic value of HelloFresh's stock can be calculated using various methods such as discounted cash flow analysis, price-to-earnings ratio, or price-to-book ratio. That value may differ from its current market price, which is determined by supply and demand factors such as investor sentiment, market trends, or news.
9.13
Real Value
15.63
Upside
Estimating the potential upside or downside of HelloFresh SE helps investors to forecast how HelloFresh pink sheet's addition to their portfolios will impact the overall performance. We also use other valuation drivers to help us estimate the true value of HelloFresh more accurately as focusing exclusively on HelloFresh's fundamentals will not take into account other important factors:
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
10.2311.5012.78
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
5.3611.8618.36
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
4.7411.2417.74
Details

HelloFresh Total Value Analysis

HelloFresh SE is currently forecasted to have takeover price of 4.05 B with market capitalization of 4.66 B, debt of 155 M, and cash on hands of 603.7 M. Please note that takeover price may be misleading and is a subject to mistakes in financial statements. We encourage investors to thoroughly investigate all of the HelloFresh fundamentals before making investing decisions based on enterprise value of the company
  Takeover PriceMarket CapDebt ObligationsCash
4.05 B
4.66 B
155 M
603.7 M

HelloFresh Investor Information

About 68.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of HelloFresh was currently reported as 5.58. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Based on the key indicators obtained from HelloFresh's historical financial statements, HelloFresh SE is not in a good financial situation at this time. It has a very high probability of going through financial hardship in December.

HelloFresh Asset Utilization

The asset utilization indicator refers to the revenue earned for every dollar of assets a company currently reports. HelloFresh has an asset utilization ratio of 271.37 percent. This implies that the Company is making $2.71 for each dollar of assets. An increasing asset utilization means that HelloFresh SE is more efficient with each dollar of assets it utilizes for everyday operations.

HelloFresh Ownership Allocation

HelloFresh SE has a total of 171.54 Million outstanding shares. Over half of HelloFresh's outstanding shares are owned by outside corporations. These outside corporations are typically referred to as corporate investors that purchase positions in a given instrument to benefit from reduced trade commissions. Please note that no matter how many assets the company holds, if the real value of the firm is less than the current market value, you may not be able to make money on it.

HelloFresh Profitability Analysis

The company reported the revenue of 5.99 B. Net Income was 256.1 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 3.95 B.
Please note that valuation analysis is one of the essential comprehensive assessments in business. It evaluates HelloFresh's worth, which you can determine by considering its current assets, liabilities and future cash flows. The investors' valuation analysis is an important metric that will give you a perspective on different companies. It helps you know the worth of the potential investment in HelloFresh and how it compares across the competition.

About HelloFresh Valuation

The pink sheet valuation mechanism determines HelloFresh's current worth on a weekly basis. Our valuation model uses a comparative analysis of HelloFresh. We calculate exposure to HelloFresh's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, and relevant financial multiples and ratios and then compare them to those of HelloFresh's related companies.
HelloFresh SE delivers meal kit solutions to prepare home-cooked meals using its recipes. HelloFresh SE was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Berlin, Germany. HELLOFRESH is traded on OTC Exchange in the United States.

8 Steps to conduct HelloFresh's Valuation Analysis

Company's valuation is the process of determining the worth of any company in monetary terms. It estimates HelloFresh's potential worth based on factors such as financial performance, market conditions, growth prospects, and overall economic environment. The result of company valuation is a single number representing a Company's current market value. This value can be used as a benchmark for various financial transactions such as mergers and acquisitions, initial public offerings (IPOs), or private equity investments. To conduct HelloFresh's valuation analysis, follow these 8 steps:
  • Gather financial information: Obtain HelloFresh's financial statements, including balance sheets, income statements, and cash flow statements.
  • Determine HelloFresh's revenue streams: Identify HelloFresh's primary sources of revenue, including products or services offered, target markets, and pricing strategies.
  • Analyze market data: Research HelloFresh's industry and market trends, including the size of the market, growth rate, and competition.
  • Establish HelloFresh's growth potential: Evaluate HelloFresh's management, business model, and growth potential.
  • Determine HelloFresh's financial performance: Analyze its financial statements to assess its historical performance and future potential.
  • Choose a valuation method: Consider the Company's specific circumstances and choose an appropriate valuation method, such as the discounted cash flow (DCF) or comparable analysis method.
  • Calculate the value: Apply the chosen valuation method to the financial information and market data to calculate HelloFresh's estimated value.
  • Review and adjust: Review the results and make necessary adjustments, considering any relevant factors that may have been missed or overlooked.
Note: This is a general outline, and different approaches and methods may be used depending on the type and size of the company being valued. We also recomment to seek professional assistance to ensure accuracy.

HelloFresh Growth Indicators

Investing in growth stocks can be very risky. If the company such as HelloFresh does not do well, investors take a loss on the stock when it is time to sell. Also, because growth stocks typically do not pay dividends, the only opportunity an investor has to make money on their investment is when they eventually sell their shares.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding168.4 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y-0.885
Forward Price Earnings16.1812
Retained Earnings199.1 M

Complementary Tools for HelloFresh Pink Sheet analysis

When running HelloFresh's price analysis, check to measure HelloFresh's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy HelloFresh is operating at the current time. Most of HelloFresh's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of HelloFresh's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move HelloFresh's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of HelloFresh to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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